2026-01-11 05:20:49

Goldman Sachs recently released a set of data that shattered many people's pessimistic views about the AI era.

Over the past 30-40 years, digital technology in the United States has directly created over 8 million jobs. Among them, computer-related professions have absorbed 6.927 million people, while emerging fields like the gig economy, e-commerce, and creator economy have contributed over 1 million jobs. More painfully, 60% of the jobs you are currently engaged in did not exist in 1940—web designers, data scientists, social media managers, cloud architects—these are direct products of the technological wave.

McKinsey's research is even more interesting. While the internet destroyed 1 job in France, it created 2.4 new jobs. This set of numbers directly supports Goldman Sachs' argument that "technology creates more jobs than it destroys."

But can this optimistic history be repeated in the AI era? That is the biggest suspense.

Goldman Sachs itself is not even sure. They predict AI will replace 6-7% of the workforce, which is about 90-110 million people. The question is, what is the actual number and type of new jobs created? No one can say for sure. The World Economic Forum claims that by 2030, there will be a net increase of 78 million jobs, which sounds great. But the employment reality in the US by 2025 is proving otherwise—monthly new jobs only average 32,000, a number that has already plummeted to a very worrying level.

This reveals a frightening signal: the transition from destruction to creation may be more painful than anyone has anticipated.

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ContractHunter

· 16h ago

The data looks good, but the reality is that the wave of unemployment is already at the door. Where are the new jobs? --- Wait, is it that old tune of "technology creates jobs"? Can the story of France's 2.4 times be replicated in the AI era? I doubt it. --- 900-1100 million unemployed, and that's called "breaking through pessimistic imagination"? I think it's just psychological preparation for the upcoming pain. --- The most heartbreaking thing is that only 32,000 jobs are added on average per month... this data is incredibly face-slapping. Where are the 78 million jobs touted on forums? --- Cloud architects, data scientists—these jobs have much higher thresholds than translators or newspaper editors, right? What about workers who are unemployed? Going back to school? --- The transition period will be very painful—this is the only honest part of the entire article. --- Even Goldman Sachs "doesn't dare to guarantee," so who dares? It sounds like a gambler's mentality.

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CounterIndicator

· 16h ago

Data can be deceptive, but reality won't be. Looking only at how many jobs have been created historically is useless; the key is whether new jobs can support you.

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HalfPositionRunner

· 17h ago

Looking at Goldman Sachs' data, it's indeed not that pessimistic, but the key still depends on whether new jobs can keep up with the淘汰速度. Currently, the employment growth of 32,000 people simply can't be sustained.

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quietly_staking

· 17h ago

Basically, the data looks good, but when it comes down to you and me, it's still unemployment or unemployment.

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