A friend recently came to consult me, and he started with: "I’m trading contracts in the crypto space, and I lost 4000 USDT directly. Is there still a chance to turn it around?"
I looked at his trading records, and it was obvious—he was all-in on single bets, chasing after rising prices, and bottom-fishing during dips. He’s been through all these pitfalls. Instead of continuing to complain, it’s better to learn lessons from the losses.
Later, I shared my commonly used contract opening strategy with him. The core logic is one word: stability. This framework is inspired by legendary trader Livermore’s trading philosophy:
**Step 1: Test the waters to enter** Start with only 20% of your position. Many people go all-in right away, which is the biggest mistake. Leave enough room for trial and error, and your mindset will be much more relaxed.
**Step 2: Strict stop-loss** Once you lose 10%, close the position immediately. This way, the actual loss is only 2% of the total position, which won’t damage your foundation. Many people stubbornly hold on, and only end up wiping out their account.
**Step 3: Add on profits** When you gain 10%, increase your position by 20%. If it rises another 10%, add another 20%. By the third increase, add up to 40%, amplifying your profits. After that, as long as you’re still making money, hold on. But if there’s a 10% pullback, close everything to lock in profits.
It sounds simple, but in practice, it definitely requires discipline. The market changes every day, and it’s impossible to guarantee 100% profit, but this logic can tilt the odds in your favor. That’s how I open my own trades, and the results are pretty good.
Ultimately, the three words that scare contract trading are: chaos, greed, and fear. Getting the rhythm right and controlling each trade’s risk exposure is the key to transforming from a rookie to a pro.
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DAOplomacy
· 01-11 04:57
ngl the whole "20% entry then pyramid on wins" thing is academically sound but like... the game theoretical implications of strict 10% stops in volatile markets are arguably non-trivial. path dependency matters way more than most realize tbh
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NFTRegretter
· 01-11 04:57
Stop-loss really hits the point. I used to stubbornly hold onto losses, and in the end, I got liquidated.
Livermore's methods are indeed old clichés, but very few people actually follow them with discipline.
Losing 4000U is not the end; the key is whether this friend can break the habit of all-in betting.
Speaking of which, I’ve tried the 20% trial entry method before, and I feel that the psychological pressure is indeed much less.
Talking about theory is easy; actually not greedily holding on in real trading is the real challenge.
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MetaMuskRat
· 01-11 04:53
Basically, it's about controlling your hands, which is the hardest part.
I only realized after losing everything in a gamble that greed is more deadly than a margin call.
I've tried the 20% testing approach before, and it definitely made my mindset much more relaxed, no longer always thinking about making back in one shot.
Stop-loss is truly a necessity; any trade without a stop-loss is gambling.
The Livermore approach is indeed impressive, but only a few people can really execute it.
The rhythm of adding positions is crucial; many people get stuck because they don't know when to go all-in again.
The phrase "reckless greed" is the end of the line; it's a very accurate summary. Most retail traders fall here.
This logic sounds simple, but sticking to it really requires a big heart.
Contracts are a psychological battle; making money is actually easier, the hard part is not to mess up yourself.
I feel this plan is more suitable for people with a stable mindset; if you're impatient, you'd better not try it.
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SigmaValidator
· 01-11 04:51
Stop-loss is indeed a lifesaver, but when it comes to actually spending money, who can really do it?
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MerkleTreeHugger
· 01-11 04:42
That's right, but I'm just worried about greed and these three words
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The common problem among all-in players is always wanting to turn things around in one shot, but the result is sinking deeper and deeper
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I've been using the 20% testing water method for a long time, and it really helps improve my mindset
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Stop-loss at 10% and break even? Sounds harsh, but those who don't do this have long blown up their accounts
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The problem is most people lack discipline at all, seeing a rise and wanting to chase, that's the real poison
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The logic of adding positions is indeed perfect, but it's the easiest to break when executing
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Losing 4000U and not learning the lesson, even doubling again won't save you
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The Livermore approach really stands the test of time, but unfortunately, too many know about it, and too few can do it
View OriginalReply0
BitcoinDaddy
· 01-11 04:33
They all sound right, but how many can really stick with it? I've tried it myself—once I hit a limit-up, I want to go all in.
A friend recently came to consult me, and he started with: "I’m trading contracts in the crypto space, and I lost 4000 USDT directly. Is there still a chance to turn it around?"
I looked at his trading records, and it was obvious—he was all-in on single bets, chasing after rising prices, and bottom-fishing during dips. He’s been through all these pitfalls. Instead of continuing to complain, it’s better to learn lessons from the losses.
Later, I shared my commonly used contract opening strategy with him. The core logic is one word: stability. This framework is inspired by legendary trader Livermore’s trading philosophy:
**Step 1: Test the waters to enter**
Start with only 20% of your position. Many people go all-in right away, which is the biggest mistake. Leave enough room for trial and error, and your mindset will be much more relaxed.
**Step 2: Strict stop-loss**
Once you lose 10%, close the position immediately. This way, the actual loss is only 2% of the total position, which won’t damage your foundation. Many people stubbornly hold on, and only end up wiping out their account.
**Step 3: Add on profits**
When you gain 10%, increase your position by 20%. If it rises another 10%, add another 20%. By the third increase, add up to 40%, amplifying your profits. After that, as long as you’re still making money, hold on. But if there’s a 10% pullback, close everything to lock in profits.
It sounds simple, but in practice, it definitely requires discipline. The market changes every day, and it’s impossible to guarantee 100% profit, but this logic can tilt the odds in your favor. That’s how I open my own trades, and the results are pretty good.
Ultimately, the three words that scare contract trading are: chaos, greed, and fear. Getting the rhythm right and controlling each trade’s risk exposure is the key to transforming from a rookie to a pro.