2026-01-11 02:29:56

The market continued its strong momentum at the beginning of the year, with the S&P 500 soaring 1.6% this week, and small caps performing even more aggressively, with the Russell 2000 jumping 4.6%. Funds mainly flowed into broad-based ETFs like VOO, with a single-day net inflow of $10 billion. Such enthusiasm is indeed rare.

However, behind this early-year feast, several variables are brewing. The Federal Reserve has a packed schedule of officials' speeches next week, and before Powell's official succession, hawkish signals may be released again—don't expect rate cuts to be on the table. Meanwhile, a wave of economic data is coming, starting with Tuesday’s CPI report, followed by retail sales, PPI, and unemployment claims, each capable of stirring market sentiment.

On the geopolitical front, tensions are also rising. The U.S. Secretary of State is set to meet with officials from Denmark and Greenland, and domestic unrest in Iran could also become a black swan. Currently, risk appetite is indeed recovering, but how far this recovery can go remains uncertain. Short-term volatility is likely to test investors' nerves.

Staying calm and adjusting flexibly is the right approach. What are your thoughts on the market rhythm for the upcoming week?

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FantasyGuardian

· 12h ago

The surge in the Russell 2000 is a bit outrageous. Small-cap stocks are indeed riding the wave, but honestly, with the data cycle coming, a correction is probably on the horizon... Wait, does the Federal Reserve still plan to signal hawkishness? Then rate cuts are definitely off the table, and the current positions should be questioned. CPI data will be released on Tuesday, and the pace is truly nerve-wracking. It feels like next week we need to stay calm. The Greenland issue is still ongoing; geopolitical risks can come at any time, so be cautious with your holdings. A net inflow of $10 billion into VOO? The enthusiasm is really intense, but the hotter it gets, the more we should be cautious. Small-cap stocks have been a bit greedy with this rally; a short-term correction is quite likely. The data hasn't come out yet, so don't get too excited. Those who have learned their lessons know this.

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BearMarketSurvivor

· 01-11 02:59

The Russell 2000's surge is truly incredible, but I'm still cautious. It feels like the real bomb is in the Federal Reserve's speech. Small-cap stocks are so strong, someone has to take the buy-in, but I'm worried that next week's data will cause a quick reversal. CPI is coming, so everyone really needs to sit tight and manage their mindset. How long can the money flowing into ETFs last? It feels a bit虚虚. The Greenland issue is still being hyped up; the probability of a black swan isn't that high. Don't over-interpret it. It was so fierce at the beginning of the year. Is there any good show coming up? I'm a bit uneasy. While capital enthusiasm is high, it's too detached from fundamentals. We'll see the real deal next week; all the data is just浮云. The saying that volatility tests patience is right. I've already prepared to cut losses at any moment.

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P2ENotWorking

· 01-11 02:58

Small-cap stocks are surging wildly, feels like they're about to fall --- It's another data week. As soon as the CPI is released, you know what next week will look like --- The recent rally of the Russell 2000... I dare not chase, feels like it's making way for late buyers --- Powell's new appointment signals hawkishness? That move was pretty slick --- Funds are flooding into broad-based ETFs like crazy, isn't this classic "buy before hesitation"? --- Will the Greenland issue really cause a disturbance? Feels a bit exaggerated --- Always talking about flexible adjustments, but it's really just betting on rate cuts --- This week's data bombardment. If you're not in a good mindset, better not to bottom fish

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NeverVoteOnDAO

· 01-11 02:51

The Russell 2000's surge is too strong, feels a bit fake... Wait, once the CPI data is released, it might crash again Hawkish signals + data bombardment, it's really tough This week, don't be greedy, if you need to run, just run

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LiquidatedNotStirred

· 01-11 02:39

The Russell 2000's recent surge is incredible, but it feels like the Federal Reserve is about to stir up trouble again. --- 100 billion in a single day net inflow? Is this hot streak still far from its peak? --- CPI will come to spoil the party on Tuesday. I bet there will be a correction next week. --- The greed index has skyrocketed again, a typical false prosperity at the beginning of the year. --- The 4.6% increase in small-cap stocks sounds great, but once hawkish comments come out, it will probably be a wipeout. --- What is going on with Greenland? How can this become a black swan? --- The frenzy of broad-based ETFs indicates retail investors are starting to buy in again. --- The period of data bombardment is really a test of mentality. Those who can't hold on can sell now. --- It's a good question how far the recovery can go. I bet it won't go too far. --- This wave feels like a typical rebound, not a reversal. Don't be fooled by false breakouts.

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Blockblind

· 01-11 02:37

The rally in the Russell 2000 is a bit wild, but I still think this rebound might just be a fireworks show. On CPI day, watch your positions closely and avoid getting cut. Small-cap stocks often surge as a prelude to a trap. When hawkish signals emerge, funds will rush out, so don't regret it later. This week’s data bombings and geopolitical instability make the safest approach to stay in cash and wait for changes.

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PrivateKeyParanoia

· 01-11 02:31

Russell surges 4.6%. This number is indeed solid, but I just want to ask one question— is this really sustainable? Wait a minute, with so much data bombarding in a week, CPI leading the charge? That’s a gamble it won’t explode, otherwise everything will cool off later. When did Greenland become a market factor... truly incredible. Short the rip, this wave of heat is too bizarre. I'm optimistic about this week, don’t overestimate your mindset. 100 billion net inflow in a single day, a bit like treating monetary policy as a decoration. Saying rate cuts are unlikely, alright then, chase the rally, after all, this is the temperament of retail investors.

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