The longer you stay in this circle, the more you realize a very practical truth— the more complicated the method looks, the more likely you are to suffer heavy losses.

A lot of people especially love to "research," staring at a dozen or so candlestick indicators every day, studying AI concepts on one side, chasing MEME hot topics on the other, changing strategies today and systems tomorrow. On the surface, they are optimizing plans, but in reality, they are accelerating their losses. To put it plainly, it’s four words: technical skills are not in place, and actions are overly complicated.

I’ve personally invested quite a bit here, stepped into many pits, and only after that did I understand a truth— the most useful method is often the simplest. Summarized into three points:

**Single Coin + Trend Following + Swing Cycles**

**First, focus on one coin**

Mainstream coins are enough, choose between BTC or ETH. Don’t chase this hot topic today, then chase that narrative tomorrow. What kind of trading is that? That’s just watching short videos.

What are the benefits of focusing on one coin long-term? You become more familiar with its temperament, its rise and fall rhythm becomes more precise, and your emotional interference is much less. After watching one coin for a long time, you’ll have a good sense of high-level signals and low-level features. Conversely, jumping from one to another, always learning new things, always acting like a rookie.

**Second, follow the trend**

It’s just one sentence: go long when it’s rising, go short when it’s falling. That’s it.

Don’t try to bottom fish, don’t guess the top, and don’t dream "I just happened to buy at the lowest point." That’s all lies. The real game plan is: the market gives you a direction, follow it; if no direction is given, just wait patiently.

Many people fail here—always thinking they are smarter than the market. Actually, trend doesn’t require you to be smart, it just needs you to obey. When BTC is in an upward channel, don’t overthink technicals, just go long. When the whole situation is in consolidation, shut up and wait for signals.

**Third, split your positions and profit from structure**

The logic is quite straightforward:

When prices are low, start with a small position to test. If it really moves out, then add more to expand the space. Take profits in stages, cut losses quickly. Stop-loss is for survival, take-profit is for making money.

Most people do the opposite. They stubbornly hold onto losing trades, unwilling to admit defeat, and rush to exit after making a little profit. Over time, this pattern almost always results in losses.

**Why do simple methods that seem stupid last the longest?**

Because they don’t require you to make a hundred correct decisions. They only require you to do one thing right—persist. Keep risk small each time, follow the right direction each time, and wait patiently each time.

Out of 365 days in a year, maybe you only get 30 real trading opportunities. But if you’re patient, and each of those 30 trades earns 2%, then you get 60% return in a year. Stick with it for three years, and this number becomes truly astonishing.

On the other hand, people who trade every day, constantly changing strategies? They might make 500 trades a year, losing 0.5% each time. The final result? Only one thing—liquidation.

So, to survive long in this market, it’s not about learning more indicators or researching more advanced strategies, but about learning—keeping it simple. Simple to the point of boredom, but it’s this boredom that truly forms the moat.