2026-01-10 14:21:10

In the past 15 days, Bitcoin has been fluctuating steadily within the range of approximately $87,100 to $89,900. From December 19 to January 2, the price has increased by about 5.2%. Looking back at the entire December, the average price was around $87,500, and now at the beginning of January, there are signs of a slight rebound.

To put it simply, there hasn't been much market movement during this period; it's just a stable consolidation phase without any particularly intense one-sided trends.

So, is it a good time to enter the market? There's no consensus in the community, mainly two opposing views.

One group believes it's a good long-term entry point. Their logic is that the driving forces behind Bitcoin are changing, and the old "four-year halving cycle" pattern may be outdated. Where is the real incremental demand coming from now? Large inflows from institutions and sovereign funds, continuous inflows into spot ETFs, and some countries starting to treat Bitcoin as a reserve asset—these are tangible demands. Plus, the regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies in the US is becoming clearer, reducing uncertainty. On a macro level, expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts are also supporting liquidity. Based on these factors, some institutions are openly targeting a $250,000 price, and Fidelity analysts have even stated that for those viewing Bitcoin as a long-term store of value, "there's basically no such thing as being too late."

The other camp advocates caution in the short term. While the long-term logic remains sound, cryptocurrencies are highly volatile, and short-term movements are truly unpredictable, carrying significant risks. This perspective is more suitable for investors who can't tolerate short-term fluctuations.

Both viewpoints have their merits; choosing which path to take mainly depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

BTC3,78%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

11 Likes

Reward
11
10
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

POAPlectionist

· 01-13 09:17

Staying steady for so long, I'm actually a bit anxious now, feeling like a breakthrough is imminent. Actually, how many times have we heard that institutions are truly entering the market? Can't this time be different? $250,000? Let's wait and see first; I still want to buy the dip. With this wave of fluctuations, those who enter short-term might get caught, so it's better to wait and watch. Long-term investment is indeed attractive, but you need to have the mental preparation; the volatility can be really stressful.

View OriginalReply0

GoldDiggerDuck

· 01-13 05:43

The entire market isn't over yet, I'm really getting tired of waiting. When will there be a big move? Institutions are also buying in, so there's no long-term problem. 250,000? Just listen and pay attention to the present. This short-term wave is indeed hard to predict, better wait and see. I have reservations about the four-year cycle being outdated. Spot ETF continues to attract funds, indicating that some people are still optimistic. What if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates? The plans could all be thrown into disarray. I still think long-term holding is the most stable; short-term trading is too exhausting. Making it a reserve asset for the country is indeed a new story, but it still depends on how it plays out. A clear regulatory framework is a good thing; increasing certainty is the key.

View OriginalReply0

airdrop_whisperer

· 01-12 19:01

The logic of holding long-term is sound, but do we really need to chase at this position now? I actually think it's better to wait and see. Institutional entry is a good thing, but all the purchases in this wave are at what cost... entering now feels a bit like catching the top. If there's a sharp drop in the short term, what should we do? It's better to wait for a better position. It really depends on whether you can withstand the pullback. Anyway, I’m not really confident in chasing highs.

View OriginalReply0

ConsensusDissenter

· 01-11 16:18

Institutions are疯狂抄底, countries are starting to stockpile coins, what are you still hesitating for? That $250,000 target sounds a bit unrealistic, who really believes it? After such a long consolidation, it feels like it will either break down or surge, just don't drag it out anymore. The long-term holding crowd is starting to promote compound interest again, I just want to ask how to hedge risks in the short term. The halving cycle theory is indeed outdated, but will institutions really buy狂like they say? Risks are always present, don't be brainwashed by what Fidelity said.

View OriginalReply0

NonFungibleDegen

· 01-10 14:51

ngl the consolidation is giving boring but also... probably nothing? ser if you're not already in, 250k sounds alpha but also sounds like copium lol. institutions eating though, that part's real fr fr

Reply0

BoredRiceBall

· 01-10 14:49

The consolidation has been going on for so long, it seems like we're still waiting for the wind to blow. Institutions are really sweeping through the spot market, this wave is different. Long-term holding is fine, but I still have to watch the Federal Reserve's moves. 250,000? That's too outrageous, who would believe that? Anyway, I'm just lying flat, holding long-term is enough. With such big short-term fluctuations, it's better to wait for another opportunity to jump in. The old halving cycle theory is indeed a bit outdated; now it's all about capital-driven movements. It's really not too late to enter now, even Fidelity says so. I think I need to observe a bit more, no need to rush. Steady consolidation is actually about accumulating strength.

View OriginalReply0

MEVHunterLucky

· 01-10 14:46

Institutions are really entering this wave, but I still think whether to enter now depends on how much fluctuation you can handle. A 5.2% increase isn't much. The $250,000 target is quite aggressive; it all depends on how the Federal Reserve proceeds next. The real incremental growth comes from ETFs and sovereign funds, and this logic indeed holds up. After such a long consolidation, it’s either going to continue rising or suddenly drop; no one has a clear answer. Long-term holding is one thing, but short-term trading involves significant risk. I still prefer to enter in batches.

View OriginalReply0

ProposalDetective

· 01-10 14:46

Wait, is the frantic institutional entry really a bottom signal... It doesn't seem that simple.

View OriginalReply0

ShortingEnthusiast

· 01-10 14:42

After such a long consolidation, it feels like it's either going to break out or break down. Should I hold long-term or wait a bit longer?

View OriginalReply0

LazyDevMiner

· 01-10 14:26

It's been consolidating for so long, but I'm still a bit anxious. I really don't know whether to buy the dip or wait a bit longer. Institutions are all entering the market. Feels like if I miss out, there won't be another chance. This number of 250,000... sounds unbelievable. Do you believe it, everyone? Short-term risks are indeed high. I'll stick to dollar-cost averaging. Better to be safe. Is the four-year cycle outdated? Then why should we judge based on it? Entering the market now definitely requires a long-term mindset. It all depends on whether you can withstand the volatility. This price should go up eventually. It's too uncomfortable to keep wavering here.

View OriginalReply0