The New Year trading kickoff is hot. Last week, the US stock market performed strongly— the S&P 500 index surged 1.6% in a single day, with small-cap stocks performing even better, as the Russell 2000 index jumped 4.6%. Liquidity also remained active, with the largest tracking fund of the S&P 500 absorbing $10 billion in new funds in just one day.
This week, economic data will be released in succession, igniting market sentiment. On Tuesday, US inflation data will be released first, followed by retail sales and the Producer Price Index on Wednesday, with unemployment data and manufacturing PMI continuing to exert pressure on Thursday. This series of data is likely to rewrite market expectations for the economic outlook.
However, risk factors are also accumulating. The new Federal Reserve leadership is about to take office, and current officials are making frequent speeches, with the market beginning to price in rate cut expectations. Meanwhile, US diplomatic actions are frequent— the Secretary of State is visiting Scandinavia, and Middle East geopolitical tensions are ongoing. These variables could trigger emotional fluctuations this week.
The linkage effect between the crypto market and traditional finance is significant. Uncertainty in the macro environment often amplifies asset volatility, making risk management a top priority at present.
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WalletAnxietyPatient
· 13h ago
Russell 2000 surged by 4.6% directly, small-cap stocks are really showing their muscle... However, I'm still a bit anxious about this week's data bombardment; inflation, unemployment, all coming together can easily lead to a downturn.
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WhaleWatcher
· 01-11 12:41
Russell 2000 soars 4.6%, is this small-cap wave really turning around?
Data week is here, it looks like a rollercoaster ride in the coming days.
Expectations of rate cuts are back again, but it's always the same story...
A major crash is expected on Thursday, prepare to cut losses.
Crypto and US stocks are now interconnected; there's no escaping it.
With such high macro uncertainty, who dares to go all-in?
Can this rebound continue? It feels like a false breakout.
The 10 billion capital inflow—are institutions bottom-fishing or just诱多?
Inflation data is the real test; everything else is just floating clouds.
With so many geopolitical risks, no wonder market sentiment is so sensitive.
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RebaseVictim
· 01-10 13:57
Small-cap stocks soared by 4.6% in this wave, but I always feel like this heat is coming a bit too quickly... Data week is here, and it will definitely be another round of washout.
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The timing of rate cut pricing is uncertain; with geopolitical tensions, the Fed's stance can reverse in minutes.
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100 billion inflows in a day, sounds great but do you really dare to take the risk? Risk management should never be overlooked.
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On Wednesday, retail sales and PPI will be released together. That's the real highlight; the faster the rise earlier, the more pain there might be later.
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Cryptocurrency is so tightly linked to the US stock market, it's truly a shared hardship. Small investors should mainly focus on defense.
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The Secretary of State running around in Scandinavia, Middle East tensions pulling in different directions—these variables crashing down, do you dare to go all-in? I don't have that courage.
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Market sentiment being ignited means disaster; even a slight breeze or movement can cause a stampede. This is the true test of human nature.
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The new year starts off fiery, but be cautious of chasing highs—you're likely just a bag-holder.
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AirdropHunter
· 01-10 13:54
Wait, the Russell 2000 is directly up 4.6%? This rally doesn't seem right, feels a bit inflated.
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$10 billion absorbed in one day, how crazy is that... Small investors are still hesitating.
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Are rate cut expectations already priced in? If the actual data is released later, there's a high chance of a market crash.
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Middle East tensions plus the Fed changing personnel, this week might see a bloodbath.
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Crypto still dances along with US stocks, it's quite annoying. When can it have an independent trend?
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CodeSmellHunter
· 01-10 13:52
Wait, the Russell 2000 is up 4.6%? This rally is pretty fierce, small-cap stocks are really going crazy.
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A barrage of dense data, this week will either see a big surge or a bloodbath, no middle ground.
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Both interest rate cuts and geopolitical conflicts are happening, the Federal Reserve is playing its tricks very skillfully.
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They absorbed $10 billion in one day? Is the capital so enthusiastic, not afraid of standing at high positions?
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Cryptocurrency is so closely linked to the stock market, risk management is easy to say but hard to implement.
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Inflation data is the real stabilizer; everything else is just floating clouds.
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ruggedSoBadLMAO
· 01-10 13:39
Wow, small-cap stocks are taking off directly. My portfolio is very satisfied.
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MrRightClick
· 01-10 13:29
Small-cap stocks are surging quite strongly this wave, up 4.6% and taking off directly. It feels like it's about to start cutting the leeks again.
A bunch of big data is coming in, and it feels like this week will either see a huge surge or a sharp decline, with no middle ground.
Interest rate cut expectations are heating up, but geopolitical issues are also stirring up trouble. It feels like bad news could appear at any time.
Cryptocurrency is fluctuating along with the US stock market. The most uncomfortable thing is this uncertainty. How to manage risk?
This week's data bombardment has been intense. I was mentally prepared long ago; it's just stimulation.
Is the Russell 2000 signaling a takeoff? Or is it just another trap?
Liquidity is hot, but I still don't dare to go all-in. It feels like risk is accumulating.
The New Year trading kickoff is hot. Last week, the US stock market performed strongly— the S&P 500 index surged 1.6% in a single day, with small-cap stocks performing even better, as the Russell 2000 index jumped 4.6%. Liquidity also remained active, with the largest tracking fund of the S&P 500 absorbing $10 billion in new funds in just one day.
This week, economic data will be released in succession, igniting market sentiment. On Tuesday, US inflation data will be released first, followed by retail sales and the Producer Price Index on Wednesday, with unemployment data and manufacturing PMI continuing to exert pressure on Thursday. This series of data is likely to rewrite market expectations for the economic outlook.
However, risk factors are also accumulating. The new Federal Reserve leadership is about to take office, and current officials are making frequent speeches, with the market beginning to price in rate cut expectations. Meanwhile, US diplomatic actions are frequent— the Secretary of State is visiting Scandinavia, and Middle East geopolitical tensions are ongoing. These variables could trigger emotional fluctuations this week.
The linkage effect between the crypto market and traditional finance is significant. Uncertainty in the macro environment often amplifies asset volatility, making risk management a top priority at present.