#密码资产动态追踪 Eight years of navigating the crypto world, losing 70% of my wealth in the first four years, I finally summarized this survival logic. Sharing it with friends who are still blindly exploring, maybe it can save you ten years of detours:

**The most critical part is trading mindset**
Why do retail investors always lose money? There are only two problems: when making profits, they get greedy and fully sell, and when losing money, they stubbornly hold and don’t cut losses. Do the opposite: take profits when gains exceed 15% and the price pulls back, and cut losses immediately when down more than 5%. This "earn 10%, lose 5%" iron rule, even if only half of 100 trades are winners, can still multiply your capital by 8 times.

**Understanding volume is key to understanding trends**
Volume hitting new highs with less than 50% of usual volume? This indicates that the big players are secretly controlling the market, and the probability of further rise is high. During a sharp increase, if volume doesn’t exceed twice the usual, the next day is likely to continue upward. Break above the 20-day moving average with decreasing volume? That’s a golden buying point. Coins like $ZEC also follow this logic.

**Don’t hold too many positions**
The biggest mistake small funds make is trying to buy everything, even during weakness, adding to positions. If you currently hold more than 5 coins and most are in loss, quickly cut down to 2-3, prioritizing selling those that break below the 20-day moving average.

**How to trade in 24-hour markets**
A big drop during the day? Don’t panic; the rebound probability is still high. But if there’s a sudden surge at the close, reduce your holdings because the next day might see a pullback. Remember the rule: volume decreasing during a rise means it might still go up; volume decreasing during a fall means it might still go down; a surge to the top on high volume is likely to reverse; a sharp rise on huge volume will definitely pull back. This is especially obvious with highly volatile coins like $SOL.

**Follow the trend to make profits**
In the short term, follow the 5-day moving average; if volume breaks through, follow up. For medium to long-term, watch the 20-day moving average: buy on a breakout, sell on a breakdown. Once the trend is established, don’t guess blindly—follow where the capital flows.

**Use the rebound tactic well**
After a strong coin surges repeatedly and hits a limit (first bearish candle), only do it if certain conditions are met: enough popularity, a strong first bearish candle, sufficient turnover, next day opens flat or higher, and the correction lasts no more than 2 days. When these conditions are met, the success rate of a rebound is high.

**After making big gains, take a break**
Continuous profits can be dangerous; it’s easy to get carried away. Force yourself to rest and don’t be greedy to catch every move. Otherwise, it’s like drawing water with a bamboo basket—what you earned earlier will be lost.

**Be more cautious when losing money**
When the market is unfavorable, stay calm; patience is the reward. It’s easier to operate when making money, but when losing, you tend to lose even more. The key is to dare to act, and even more importantly, dare to let go.

**Remember why you started**
The original intention of trading coins is to break through the current situation; pain is the ladder to growth. Only by enduring can you reach true freedom.

**Cognition is the essence of trading**
The difficulty in the crypto world isn’t opportunities but continuous learning and genuine execution. Profitable traders are always a minority; their profits come from most people’s cognitive blind spots. Opportunities are everywhere, but what’s lacking is real execution and self-discipline.