The recent Ethereum trend once again reveals an old pattern.

Robot data shows that the bulls are gradually increasing, which initially sounds quite positive. The problem is—this increase happens right around the breakout after a rebound, making the timing too "perfect." How perfect? It’s the classic trap of false breakout.

Retail investors see the technical breakout and notice support from the funds, naturally following the trend to go long. But think about it—when the most tempting buy orders are in, what happens next? The market begins to reverse and harvest. This routine has played out in the crypto market for years, and the pattern remains unchanged.

So instead of jumping on the bandwagon, it’s better to think in the opposite direction. The opportunity for a short might be right here—when everyone is bullish and the data is showing bullish signals, go against the trend. That’s why I believe considering a short now is a more rational choice. The market’s strange nature often lies in the fact that the most advantageous moments are precisely the most dangerous.