#预测市场 The heat of the prediction market in 2025 has reached a level that cannot be ignored. Mainstream exchanges like Coinbase and Kraken are accelerating their布局, with intercontinental exchanges investing 2 billion USD into Polymarket. These signals indicate a fact—prediction markets are gradually evolving from niche玩法 to institutional-level real asset allocation.

Previously, I observed several traders who perform steadily in prediction markets. Their commonality is a deep understanding of market liquidity and a calm judgment of event probabilities. Unlike traditional crypto circles that rely on emotions and narratives, prediction markets test one's ability to interpret information and manage risks.

The current question is: if you want to follow prediction market players, how do you choose? My advice is to consider three points—first, their historical win rate and whether their single-position management is规范; second, their performance during black swan events (which truly reflects risk control能力); and third, their attitude towards losses (those who dare to cut losses often survive longer).

Stablecoins and prediction markets becoming winners in 2025 indicate that the market is moving towards "tradeable real value." This is actually good news for followers—ample liquidity, transparent information, and predictable volatility form a solid foundation for copying trades. However, be cautious: as more people flood in, opportunities will shrink, and the entry threshold for players will rise accordingly.