2025-12-24 15:25:16

From the decline from 4500 to 4474, at least 20 points of wave space can be observed. However, there is a detail worth noting—there are serious signs of divergence in the chart, and in this situation, the risk of going long indeed outweighs the potential gains, so this round we directly abandoned the long position layout.

The choices in front of us are actually two: continue to use sideways consolidation to replace the decline, or directly enter the market to absorb the chips? Currently, the market lacks catalysts from news, and the leverage of the bears cannot accumulate. Moving upward entirely depends on the decision of the main players. This stalemate actually leaves room for swing trading—no need to bet on the direction, just get the rhythm right, which indeed feels a bit like picking up money.

The key still depends on whether a volume breakout and stabilization can be achieved at the 4500 level. Before a true reversal signal appears, the 4450 line should still be regarded as the defensive support for this round of adjustment.

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FOMOrektGuy

· 4h ago

The divergence is so obvious, yet he still dares to buy more. This guy is really brave. There is indeed room for a rally, it just depends on who can hit the right timing. If 4500 can't be broken through, don't bother messing around. This consolidation is really annoying. If the main force doesn't move, we just have to wait patiently. Anyway, we're just idling. If 4450 is broken, I need to reassess this wave of the market.

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SmartContractRebel

· 4h ago

Divergence is the most annoying thing; it seems like there's a chance, but then it suddenly turns around and gets cut. The 4450 level must be well protected, or what else can we do?

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OnchainDetective

· 4h ago

The detail of divergence really hits home; betting on the bulls is just digging your own grave. Whether it's a sideways consolidation or accumulation, only the main players know the answer to this multiple-choice question. If the 4500 barrier can't be broken, then 4450 must be defended at all costs. Feeling like picking up money is just a sarcastic remark; very few dare to really go all in. If the rhythm is right, you'll make money; many regret after stepping wrong just once.

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SigmaBrain

· 4h ago

Back divergence is really annoying; when the risk-reward ratio collapses, it becomes unplayable. The rhythm of swing trading is the real key; it's much easier than guessing ups and downs. If the 4500 level can't be broken through, it's a joke. Let's see if 4450 can hold. This market trend is just a gamble on the main players; there's no other way. Waiting for signals during sideways movement—this feeling of picking up money is just great. Speaking of such a stalemate situation, it's most likely to produce a black swan; it's better to be cautious. If 4450 breaks down, I give up; there's no need to overthink it. What to do if the main players don't move? Relying only on news? That's overthinking. Getting the rhythm right and doing comparative analysis are also important; that's the key to making money.

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UnluckyMiner

· 4h ago

Divergence is also a bit annoying for me; I have to constantly re-verify whether the support levels are solid. The main players are probably also conflicted right now—whether to consolidate and accumulate or to just drop it. Anyway, we just need to hold at 4450 and not break below. The swing trading part is quite comfortable; no need to bet on the direction, just see if it can break through and stabilize above 4500.

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