Investment Opportunities in the UK Stock Market Emerge — Market Overview and Trading Strategies

The UK stock market, as one of the largest stock trading hubs in Europe, has always attracted the attention of investors worldwide. This guide will take you into an in-depth understanding of the UK stock market’s market trends, trading systems, and investment channels, including the operational features of the London Stock Exchange, the performance trend of the FTSE Index, and related trading schedules.

Current Overview of the UK Stock Market

Easing inflation pressures, central bank policy remains supportive

The Bank of England’s February 2024 monetary policy report disclosed that market inflation expectations for the next 12 months remain stable at 2.8%, with a 5-year inflation outlook of 3.1%. Although current inflation expectations are still above historical average levels, they have significantly declined from the peaks of 2022, creating room for policy adjustments. Looking ahead, the Bank of England has announced a pause in interest rate hikes, with market expectations of a rate cut cycle starting as early as mid-next year, which will undoubtedly provide bullish support for the UK stock market.

Energy sector under pressure but outlook remains unchanged

Affected by the decline in global oil prices, major UK energy companies faced profit pressures in 2023. Shell’s net profit was approximately $28.25 billion, down 30% year-over-year; BP’s net profit was about $13.8 billion, down 50% year-over-year. Despite short-term performance pressures, these energy giants continue to strengthen investor return policies and remain optimistic about long-term development prospects, maintaining a stable industry outlook.

Why is the UK stock market worth paying attention to?

Unmatched international status

As the birthplace of the Industrial Revolution, the UK has long witnessed the evolution of the global financial center. During the golden age of the London Stock Exchange, about 80% of overseas institutions chose to list there, highlighting its international appeal. Despite the impact of World War II, the UK’s international standing in the stock market has not diminished, and it still manages the largest overseas stock business globally. After World War II, in 1988, the UK stock market accounted for 50% of the global market volume, 1.5 times higher than the New York market and ten times that of Tokyo. To this day, this advantage remains clearly visible.

Well-established specialization system

The UK financial system has developed a highly specialized division of labor. Banks handle credit services, securities firms manage trading, and exchanges and brokerage institutions perform their respective roles. The UK stock market further subdivides into multiple layers such as securities banks, trust institutions, and fund companies, each with high professionalism, jointly promoting healthy development of equity financing and trading.

Strong and stable institutional investment power

The UK stock market is highly liquid, with a large number of institutional investors. Life insurance companies allocate about 20% of their group assets to the stock market; pension funds manage nearly £50 billion in UK blue-chip stocks; large investment trusts are increasing their holdings year by year. The substantial and stable capital flow provides a solid foundation for maintaining good fundamentals in the UK stock market.

Trading framework and market arrangements

Trading hours overview

Time Slot Local Time Taiwan Time (Summer 3-11 months) Taiwan Time (Winter 11-3 months)
Opening 08:00 15:00 16:00
Closing 16:30 23:30 00:30

2024 Market Holidays Schedule

Date Holiday Notes
Jan 1 New Year’s Day Closed all day
Mar 29 Good Friday Closed all day
Apr 1 Easter Closed all day
May 6 Early May Bank Holiday Closed all day
May 27 Spring Bank Holiday Closed all day
Aug 26 Summer Bank Holiday Closed all day
Dec 24 Christmas Eve Half-day close
Dec 25 Christmas Day Closed all day
Dec 26 Boxing Day Closed all day
Dec 31 New Year’s Eve Half-day close

London Stock Exchange and FTSE Index

Market Position of the London Stock Exchange

Founded in 1698 and officially established in London in 1801, the London Stock Exchange grew to become one of the world’s leading financial centers as Britain’s national strength increased. The exchange underwrites about two-thirds of international stock business and offers European bond trading and foreign exchange services. Its large pool of listed companies and international funds make it a global financial hub. The LSE operates four independent trading markets, with foreign stock trading volume leading among global exchanges. As of March 2024, its market capitalization exceeds $3 trillion, ranking seventh worldwide.

The FTSE 100 Index’s weight and representativeness

The FTSE 100 Index, compiled by FTSE Group, represents the largest 100 companies listed on the London Stock Exchange by market value, launched in 1984. It covers about 80% of the market capitalization of the London Stock Exchange and serves as a barometer of UK market sentiment. Alongside France’s CAC-40 and Germany’s Frankfurt DAX, it forms the three major European stock indices.

Major constituents of the index

As of March 2024, the six largest constituents of the FTSE 100 are: Shell (SHEL), AstraZeneca (AZN), HSBC (HSBA), Unilever (ULVR), BP (BP), and Diageo (ADR). These companies cover core industries such as energy, pharmaceuticals, finance, and consumer sectors, representing the overall strength of UK-listed companies.

UK Stock Market Outlook

Recent trends and future expectations

Since entering 2023, the UK stock market has experienced wide fluctuations, with the FTSE Index remaining roughly flat. Looking ahead to 2024, positive factors are gradually emerging. As the central bank halts rate hikes, the tightening cycle is coming to an end, and markets expect the first rate cut by mid-next year, providing a clear bullish stimulus.

Support from energy and pharmaceutical sectors

The UK stock market’s industry structure is dominated by traditional strong sectors such as energy and pharmaceuticals. In the short term, crude oil prices remain high, benefiting energy giants like Shell and BP. In the pharmaceuticals sector, companies like AstraZeneca have solid fundamentals, providing additional support to the index.

Yearly targets and investment suggestions

Based on fundamental and technical analysis, the UK stock market is expected to fluctuate upward in 2024, with the FTSE 100 target reaching 8,000 points. Investors should be aware that all markets have bullish and bearish sides, and black swan events can occur unexpectedly. Therefore, trading should be cautious, follow the trend, ensure a clear understanding of the market, and act only when supported by solid trading logic.

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