2025-12-15 06:21:39

Recently, the market has been paying attention to one thing— the Bank of Japan may initiate a new round of interest rate hikes on December 19th, and this is probably not good news for Bitcoin.

From macroeconomic data, there is a clear negative correlation between the Bank of Japan's rate hikes and Bitcoin's price movement. Looking back at the records since 2024 reveals a pattern: after the rate hike in March, Bitcoin fell by 23%; in July, the decline expanded to 26%; by January 2025, the drop reached 31%. Every action by the Bank of Japan has led to a sharp adjustment of over 20% in Bitcoin.

The current issue is that the critical window of December 19th is getting closer, and market downside expectations are continuously building. If historical patterns repeat, Bitcoin is likely to come under further pressure, directly testing the $70,000 support level. Whether this level can hold may become the core focus of the upcoming crypto market.

Of course, history will not repeat exactly, but similar patterns always leave people with more questions in mind.

BTC-0,04%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

16 Likes

Reward
16
8
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

MoneyBurnerSociety

· 2025-12-18 05:59

Once again, the Bank of Japan moves, and Bitcoin gets hit. We brothers are just responsible for catching the bag. The 70,000 support line is supposed to hold, and I bet it will break through another level. Every time they say "history may not repeat itself," my wallet has already voted against it. These numbers are right here: 23%, 26%, 31%. Are they teaching me how to lose money steadily? If there's a plunge on December 19, my bottom-fishing funds will have already been liquidated at the clearing price.

View OriginalReply0

FlashLoanPhantom

· 2025-12-17 00:37

Is the Bank of Japan about to shake things up again? The $70,000 threshold might be at risk of being broken. --- It's the same pattern again. Honestly, I almost believed it... But why do we always have to dance to Japan's monetary policy? --- Wait, a 31% drop? I feel like in the crypto world, we're always being pushed down by macro data. --- December 19th, got it... Time to stock up on stablecoins, everyone. --- I just want to know if this time it will break $70,000. If it does, it'll be hilarious. Can we still trust this pattern? --- The data is really frightening, but on the other hand... Who knows if this time it will break the rules? Just a probabilistic approach. --- Central bank raises interest rates, crypto prices plummet. When will this cycle end... So annoying.

View OriginalReply0

SleepyValidator

· 2025-12-16 01:56

The Bank of Japan is causing trouble again. Can $70,000 hold up? Is it time to buy the dip again or just stay flat? A 31% drop, damn. That's why I don't look at the charts. Historical patterns—trust them and you'll lose. See you all after December 19.

View OriginalReply0

DeepRabbitHole

· 2025-12-15 06:43

Is the Bank of Japan about to cause trouble again? This pace is really annoying, every time it drops again Can 70,000 hold? Honestly, I don't really believe it It's already this bad, why not just get in quickly? Let's wait and see Historical patterns, the one that breaks is always the most valuable I just want to know how low this time will go Another round of bloodshed, when will this day end Defense line, defense line, in the end, they are all just paper defenses

View OriginalReply0

TokenomicsTinfoilHat

· 2025-12-15 06:37

Is the Bank of Japan really that capable? They always find ways to cause trouble in the crypto world Bluffing? I bet 70,000 can't hold Here they go again, is this pattern really effective or has it already been played out? Waiting to see how the 19th is played out, feels like this time it will break below Is this a repeat of history? Then I'll cut my losses early to save myself haha The $70,000 line feels a bit risky, can't gamble on it Japan is stirring up trouble again, should we tough it out or run away this time? Every time the central bank acts, there's a crash. I really can't understand this logic This data looks a bit frightening, a 31% decline Patterns are often deceptive, few believe in them

View OriginalReply0

BetterLuckyThanSmart

· 2025-12-15 06:36

It's the Bank of Japan's fault again, always following suit and paying the price The $70,000 defense line is basically a joke, can't hold it If it really follows the pattern, then I would have been financially free long ago Rather than guessing, it's better to wait; anyway, when it drops, it's an opportunity to buy cheap This logic has been used so many times, will it still work next time? Waiting until December 19th, another big show is coming Central banks love to stir things up, retail investors suffer the most Instead of worrying, better to accumulate more; it will rebound after falling to the bottom If this wave breaks $70,000, it feels like the whole market should be re-evaluated

View OriginalReply0

SolidityNewbie

· 2025-12-15 06:34

If I can't hold onto $70,000, I'll go all in anyway since it's bound to drop Wait a minute, does it really always drop this much every time? Feels like a too obvious trick Bank of Japan: I'll just make a move btc: I'm doomed December 19th, I bet it won't follow the usual pattern this time Forget it, better to do some shorting insurance. Anyway, the Japanese will always cause trouble

View OriginalReply0

ConfusedWhale

· 2025-12-15 06:30

Can $70,000 still hold? I think it's a gamble, historical patterns are too heartbreaking. --- It's the Bank of Japan again, and interest rate hikes—has the crypto world been sanctioned by the Japanese? --- Every time it drops more than 20%, how much bottom-fishing does that take? Either it's money or just not enough courage. --- Is December 19th for real? Why does it feel like the central banks are targeting us? --- A 31% decline sounds hopeless—why bother? --- If the high probability of history repeating itself is true, isn't it foolish not to sell now? --- Can we really hold onto $70,000, everyone? This is the real psychological battle. --- Can't the Bank of Japan behave? They keep messing with Bitcoin every day. --- You can't trust patterns, but the data is there and it's truly frightening. --- Replaying similar patterns? I'd rather believe it will be different.

View OriginalReply0