Recently, there have been many rumors circulating in the crypto community, claiming that Japan will raise interest rates on December 19, prompting a large-scale withdrawal of arbitrage funds, and that a financial explosion is imminent. It sounds indeed alarming, but upon closer reflection, is it really that exaggerated?

In fact, Japan has already been on the path of raising interest rates. Starting from -0.1% in 2024, gradually increasing to 0.25%, and then up to 0.5% in 2025, this is already the fourth rate hike. Over the past two years, although interest rates have been rising, the overall level remains very low. The funds that truly want to run have already been gradually exiting over this period; there’s no need to wait until now to take action.

Looking at the scale, experts estimate that even if funds do flow out due to the rate hike, the amount would be around 2 trillion yen. Compared to the global financial scale, this is nothing and won’t cause any major upheaval.

As crypto enthusiasts, we need to stay alert. The crypto market is inherently volatile, and if we are led by these unverified "cloud messages," it’s easy to make loss-making decisions. Instead of passively following the trend, it’s better to verify information thoroughly and analyze rationally. Only then can we maintain our footing in the market and seize true opportunities.