2025-12-11 05:25:40

Last night, the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate cut was basically the final move. The interest rate range is now stuck at 3.50% to 3.75% — the market had already anticipated this.

But look at BTC's reaction—it's classic: as soon as the news broke, it shot up near $94,500, and at that moment, the bulls were on fire. So what happened? The "buy the rumor" frenzy hadn't even ended, and the "sell the news" selling pressure came crashing down. From the high to now, it has dropped nearly 5,000 points, with the support levels at 92,000 and 90,000 consecutively broken. Currently, it hovers around 89,600, bouncing up and down.

Basically, this is a typical retracement after a bullish run has been realized. The rate cut itself is of course positive, but the market had already priced in expectations above 92k a few days ago. Once short-term capital gains are taken, they naturally exit. The current trend has clearly shifted from strong to a more volatile and weaker state, and the next step depends on which level can hold steady and form a new bottom.

BTC-2,61%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

11 Likes

Reward
11
5
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

HashBrownies

· 2025-12-12 08:09

I knew it would turn out like this. Buying on expectations and selling on facts is an old trick. Those chasing quick profits have already run. --- Reaching 94.5k as a peak is not surprising at all. Short-term funds are just like that. --- Cutting interest rates itself isn't very useful. The key is that expectations have already been priced in. Now, there's nothing left. --- Can 89.6k hold? It feels like there's still more downside to explore. --- This move from 94.5k to 89.6k is a classic false breakout. I don't believe it can rebound. --- The drop has landed, and we're still falling. That's interesting. --- Losing 5000 points in the short term is indeed tough, but in the long run, it's not a big deal. --- Promised to buy on expectations, but it turned out to be all selling on facts. The bulls got trapped.

View OriginalReply0

PerpetualLonger

· 2025-12-12 03:31

Here we go again, buying on expectations and selling on facts. The bears really know how to choose the right moment to dump. This is the bottom-fishing opportunity I've been waiting for. The 89,000 level must hold; if it breaks, it will be troublesome. Interest rate cuts are ultimately positive; short-term pullbacks are normal. I don't believe it can fall all the way to 85,000. A rebound is inevitable. Hold the full position and stay put. The funds for adding more are ready. This is the last chance.

View OriginalReply0

DEXRobinHood

· 2025-12-11 05:55

It's the same old story again, buying the rumor and selling the fact. This time, it's especially clear. --- That rush to 94,500 really made me craving, too bad I didn't catch it. --- Dropping to 5,000 points just like that, luckily I sold early haha. --- This is how the boots drop, all the good news has been eaten up. --- Can 89,600 hold? Feels a bit doubtful. --- Short-term capital has made a lot of profit this wave, while we're still grinding here. --- Interest rate cuts are a good thing, but the market expectations are overhyped. --- This wave makes the bulls feel a bit虚 (uncertain/虚弱). --- How long will it take to build a bottom? So hard to wait. --- That 92k defense line collapsed so quickly, I didn't react in time.

View OriginalReply0

StopLossMaster

· 2025-12-11 05:54

It's just another old trick of "buy the rumor, sell the fact," really getting tired of it. --- That wave around 94.5k, I knew it was going to crash; it was an obvious trap to lure buyers. --- Interest rate cuts are indeed good for the market, but short-term funds are already fully invested, so entering now just makes you the bag holder. --- It's only interesting if it can stabilize around 89.6k; otherwise, we still need to find a bottom. --- Promised to be long-term optimistic, but as soon as a positive change occurs, the market becomes this temperamental—this is how the market operates. --- A 5,000-point drop, hilarious. Were you still calling for a bottom yesterday?

View OriginalReply0

ContractExplorer

· 2025-12-11 05:52

Buy the expectation, sell the fact. This trick really never fails. --- At 94.5k, I really thought it was going to break a new high, but then a tumble to 89.6. The bullish joy was so fleeting. --- Short-term funds make enough profit and then run. How can it not fall? The rate cut expectation has been overhyped for a long time. --- 92k and 90k were consecutively breached. It feels like the bottom needs to be tested once more. --- The shoe drops and instead causes a sell-off. The market really knows how to play tricks, haha.

View OriginalReply0