The market has recently sent an interesting signal: an institutional survey showed that 84% of respondents predicted that Hassett could become the next Fed chairman, but only 11% actually supported him.



What does this data reveal? Everyone is worried that an unfavored person will be at the helm of monetary policy. More importantly, 76% believe that the new chairman will be more accommodative than Powell. The expected rise in water release sounds liquidity-friendly, but the question is - can the Fed maintain its independence?

If the new chairman frequently adjusts interest rates to meet political demand after taking office, it may indeed stimulate asset prices in the short term. Bitcoin, as an alternative asset against inflation, could theoretically benefit from an accommodative environment. But once the market feels that the central bank is politically kidnapped, the credit of fiat currency will be shaken. At that time, the BTC narrative may have changed from "digital gold" to "lifeboat escaping the traditional system".

But don't forget that 51% expect the new chairman to cooperate with the rate cut. This means that policy volatility will increase and market sentiment will fluctuate. For crypto investors, this is both an opportunity and a trap.

In the face of this uncertainty, it is better to stabilize the position than to chase the rise impulsively. Bull markets often brew in doubts and peak in carnivals. While the world is discussing the credibility of central banks, it may be the node to re-examine asset allocation.
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ChainDetectivevip
· 2025-12-12 23:03
84% predicts 11% support, the gap is huge. To put it simply, everyone thinks this guy is unreliable, but he's still the one in charge. The central bank has become more and more of a political tool. The expectation of easing is warm, but once the Federal Reserve's independence is compromised, no assets can be saved. BTC has gone from digital gold to a lifeboat, it sounds romantic but the reality can be very brutal. With such high volatility, chasing the rally is probably for the retail investors. I prefer to hold steady and let the bullets fly for a while.
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FOMOmonstervip
· 2025-12-12 02:26
84% predict 11% support, this gap makes anyone nervous... Expectations of easing combined with BTC indeed should rise, but the key question is how long the Federal Reserve can remain independent, and that's the real trap.
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MEVHunterWangvip
· 2025-12-11 15:28
84% predicted support rate is only 11%? That's a huge gap, basically everyone thinks something's going to go wrong. The independence of the central bank really needs to be watched closely. Once it's politically hijacked, the story of BTC changes. Waiting for liquidity injection, but chasing highs now is too aggressive. I'll just continue holding.
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OfflineValidatorvip
· 2025-12-10 08:51
84% predict 11% support, which is a short distance spectrum. To put it bluntly, everyone feels that it is coming, but no one wants it, and the independence of the Fed is really hanging in the balance. The release of water is expected, but once the central bank becomes a political tool, it will be over. BTC really became a lifeboat at that time, don't worry about the cliché of digital gold. With such a big policy swing, retail investors like us are the easiest to step on the pit. The bull market can only live in the midst of bad singing, and I got this sentence. Don't worry, wait and see what the central bank's position is.
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FlashLoanPrincevip
· 2025-12-10 08:47
Damn, this data contrast is too amazing, 84% predict 11% support? Isn't this what everyone thinks is coming? The political kidnapping of the central bank is really outrageous, and the currency circle will become a safe haven, which is a bit outrageous
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RooftopVIPvip
· 2025-12-10 08:47
Wait, 84% predict he will come to power but only 11% really support it? This is a difference in distance, to put it bluntly, everyone thinks he is coming, but no one wants him There is also this expectation of water release, which sounds beautiful, but if the Fed is really reduced to a political marionette, once the credit of fiat currency collapses, BTC will not be an investment product, but an escape boat. To be honest, this is the real black swan 51% interest rate cut expected? The wavering policy is the most deadly, and retail investors can't even take care of the meat and leeks Instead of rushing to full positions now, it is better to see clearly before taking action, the more you move in this uncertainty, the faster you die
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MEVHunterLuckyvip
· 2025-12-10 08:46
84% predict 11% support, this gap is really outrageous, it feels like everyone is betting on a nobody to come to power? If the independence of the central bank is really gone, BTC will really become a lifeboat
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PuzzledScholarvip
· 2025-12-10 08:32
84% predicted but only 11% supported? This gap... It's too typical of American politics haha, people are betting on a nobody to take the helm of the Federal Reserve, which is funny or not. BTC does have room for imagination in anticipation, but once the independence of the central bank is broken, the collapse of fiat currency credit will be a troubled time for crypto. The volatility is so great, I still hold on and wait for the wind to see.
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