The suspense of a rate cut in December is about to be revealed - CME data shows that the probability of the market betting that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week has soared to 89.6%.
What's even more dramatic is that JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, and other major Wall Street banks have recently collectively "overturned" and quickly revised their previous forecasts of "pausing interest rate cuts", and now they have all changed their words to say that they will fall. What made them change their minds so quickly? The recent employment data is really not good.
The timing is also delicate: just before the interest rate meeting (the results will be announced at 3 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday), Kevin Hassitt, director of the White House National Economic Council, the popular candidate who is optimistic to take over as the next Fed chairman, directly publicly shouted: It's time to continue cutting interest rates.
This is the timing of the statement, you taste.
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DegenMcsleepless
· 2025-12-12 14:12
Wall Street guys are really hilarious. A few days ago they said to pause, and now they’ve completely changed their tune, acting like flipping a pancake.
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89.6%? I bet there will be rate cuts this week, but I also bet they’ll change their minds again next week.
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Kevin is quite spot-on with his timing; he’s basically ready to shout "buy the dip."
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I see through Morgan Stanley’s move this time — it’s just for the chives to buy the dip.
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So what if rate cuts come? The holders of coins have already been cut once, they’re numb now.
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This is how traditional finance looks — unpredictable to the core. Compared to on-chain folks, they’re actually pretty honest.
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If employment data isn’t good, then there will be rate cuts? Why don’t I feel my wallet getting fatter yet?
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The crypto circle has long figured out this routine; we’ve seen this Fed show countless times.
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RadioShackKnight
· 2025-12-10 07:25
These people on Wall Street are really good, and their predictions are like flipping pancakes, laughing to death
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HashRateHustler
· 2025-12-10 07:25
These people on Wall Street really change their mouths, and they shout a pause on the front foot and change their faces directly on the back foot, laughing to death
JPMorgan's operation is really funny, and the employment data immediately surrendered collectively
Hassit's shouting at this time is very interesting, he really regards the market as a leek that is easy to manipulate
89.6% This number sounds very certain, but I am still a little wary, how do I feel full of routines
The frequent pressure on the White House is a bit excessive, and it wants to be the chairman and influence decision-making, and it is a bit ruthless
Anyway, I believe that this wave will fall, otherwise A-shares will not be so excited
This is a typical loose expectation with rhythm, and retail investors are still guessing whether it will fall or not, and they have already set the tone
The central bank's drama is really wonderful, and the comparison before and after is simply cross talk
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LiquidationAlert
· 2025-12-10 07:23
These people on Wall Street are really, they turn their faces when they say they turn their faces... The employment data was poor, and he changed his mouth in an instant, laughing to death
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GateUser-e19e9c10
· 2025-12-10 07:20
These people on Wall Street are really good, and they say that they will pause the front foot and change their mouths on the back foot, which I really don't understand
The suspense of a rate cut in December is about to be revealed - CME data shows that the probability of the market betting that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week has soared to 89.6%.
What's even more dramatic is that JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, and other major Wall Street banks have recently collectively "overturned" and quickly revised their previous forecasts of "pausing interest rate cuts", and now they have all changed their words to say that they will fall. What made them change their minds so quickly? The recent employment data is really not good.
The timing is also delicate: just before the interest rate meeting (the results will be announced at 3 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday), Kevin Hassitt, director of the White House National Economic Council, the popular candidate who is optimistic to take over as the next Fed chairman, directly publicly shouted: It's time to continue cutting interest rates.
This is the timing of the statement, you taste.