The Fed's 25 basis point rate cut has finally landed, but have you noticed? The market reaction was surprisingly calm.
Behind this is actually the cliché logic - the good news has been digested in advance. When everyone was waiting for a rate cut, the price had already reflected the expectations. The moment it really lands, it is easy to become a trigger point for short-term selling pressure.
What is more noteworthy is Powell's statement in the early morning. While cutting interest rates, emphasizing "data dependence" is actually cooling the market. Inflationary pressures are still there, and this round of interest rate cuts is more like a forced compromise than active easing. The next step of policy tightening may be at any time, and short-term fluctuations in risk assets such as ETH are inevitable.
However, looking at the long term, there are three underlying logics that cannot be ignored:
First, this rate cut is a tentative move. If economic data deteriorates, interest rate cut expectations will continue to strengthen; If the data is good, there will be more room for relaxation. In either case, the floodgates of liquidity have been loosened.
Second, history is always repeating. The Fed turned around in 19 years, large-scale water release in 20 years, and spot ETFs passed in 23 years...... Every time the capital environment improves, crypto assets are the most obvious area to benefit. Signs of a new cycle are already looming.
Third, volatility often breeds opportunities. When the market panicked, it was the window for capital reallocation. The market will not break out suddenly, but the inflection point is gradually forming.
Now the test is patience and judgment. Short-term shocks are noise, and long-term trends are signals. Focus on fundamental changes rather than mood swings.
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RugDocDetective
· 2025-12-13 04:32
Once the dust settles, the selling pressure will ease; this trick has been played out long ago. The key is Powell's phrase "data dependence," which sounds like he's saying "don't get too excited." Liquidity has loosened, but how long can this play last? Let's see.
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AlwaysQuestioning
· 2025-12-12 18:43
Once the positive news is digested, it has to be sold off. This pattern is quite harsh. Powell's approach of "data dependence" is essentially pretending there's still a backup plan, but in reality, he's scared. Short-term discomfort is unavoidable, but once the liquidity tap loosens, the cycle will inevitably begin.
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IronHeadMiner
· 2025-12-10 05:30
I have seen this routine too many times, and it is performed like this every time
It's "data dependence" again, Powell's set is really annoying, and there are reasons for whether it will be lowered or not
History repeats itself right, it depends on how long this round can last, anyway, I am ambushed in a low position
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MEVSandwich
· 2025-12-10 05:29
Good digestion in advance is tired of hearing this set of statements, and the question is when the next wave will come
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DeFiVeteran
· 2025-12-10 05:25
The key is that Powell's "data dependence" is really whetting his appetite
It is easy to cut interest rates, but it is difficult to release water, to put it bluntly, the mountain of inflation has not been overturned
Stretching the long term is indeed right, but it is still really a test of mentality, especially looking at the fluctuations of ETH in the past few days
I believe in the logic of historical repetition, and the rhythm of 19, 20, and 23 years is indeed in line
Now let's see what happens when the next data comes out, and I feel that the real opportunity is still ahead
This kind of shock in the short term is sometimes a good time to be in a daze, don't get too entangled
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AirdropSweaterFan
· 2025-12-10 05:09
There is still no reaction to the implementation of interest rate cuts, and the price has long been in. Powell's set of "data dependence" sounds unreassuring
The space for short-term continued operation is limited, but liquidity does have to depend on the follow-up... The new cycle signal of the extended cycle is indeed interesting
Wait, do you think this wave is going to repeat history again?
The Fed's 25 basis point rate cut has finally landed, but have you noticed? The market reaction was surprisingly calm.
Behind this is actually the cliché logic - the good news has been digested in advance. When everyone was waiting for a rate cut, the price had already reflected the expectations. The moment it really lands, it is easy to become a trigger point for short-term selling pressure.
What is more noteworthy is Powell's statement in the early morning. While cutting interest rates, emphasizing "data dependence" is actually cooling the market. Inflationary pressures are still there, and this round of interest rate cuts is more like a forced compromise than active easing. The next step of policy tightening may be at any time, and short-term fluctuations in risk assets such as ETH are inevitable.
However, looking at the long term, there are three underlying logics that cannot be ignored:
First, this rate cut is a tentative move. If economic data deteriorates, interest rate cut expectations will continue to strengthen; If the data is good, there will be more room for relaxation. In either case, the floodgates of liquidity have been loosened.
Second, history is always repeating. The Fed turned around in 19 years, large-scale water release in 20 years, and spot ETFs passed in 23 years...... Every time the capital environment improves, crypto assets are the most obvious area to benefit. Signs of a new cycle are already looming.
Third, volatility often breeds opportunities. When the market panicked, it was the window for capital reallocation. The market will not break out suddenly, but the inflection point is gradually forming.
Now the test is patience and judgment. Short-term shocks are noise, and long-term trends are signals. Focus on fundamental changes rather than mood swings.