This morning, while scrolling through updates, I saw a friend mention waiting for Aster to drop to 0.1-0.15 before buying the dip. This idea got me thinking for a while, so I looked up some information and organized my thoughts.

First, let’s talk about what’s attractive about this project:
The official team has promised to periodically use platform fee revenue, with 50% allocated for token buyback and burn. If this mechanism can be sustained, it will provide long-term support for the token price. They’re also already preparing new plans for 2026, which at the very least shows the team is still working seriously.

More importantly, Aster is taking a decentralized approach, which aligns well with the core values of the crypto world. Plus, a notable industry figure (you know who) personally got involved and bought in, which has boosted market confidence to some extent.

But there are also clear issues:
An 8 billion total supply is indeed quite large, and future unlocks will create selling pressure. The project’s implementation won’t be easy either, since there’s plenty of competition—projects like HYPE in the same sector are eyeing the opportunity.

My take?
In the short term, market sentiment is rather cold, so the price will likely continue to consolidate. Drop below 0.15? Highly unlikely. Even in extreme conditions, 0.9 might not hold, but the bottom should be around 0.7 at most. In the long run, if the project can move forward steadily and the market recovers, the price should slowly climb back up.

All of this is just my personal observation and record, not financial advice of any kind.