#数字货币市场洞察 SOL is currently around $132.50(-2.35%). From the on-chain data, things still look solid—TVL is stable at $8.79B, daily active users at 1.88 million, stablecoin volume close to $15B, and actual ecosystem demand keeps strengthening. The derivatives market OI has reached $3.3B, and the funding rate remains neutral-to-bullish, indicating institutions are generally optimistic but still holding cautiously. The overall direction isn’t fully confirmed yet, but there’s strong support on the downside.

From a technical perspective, SOL is oscillating between $132-139, which is typical consolidation. The key opportunities are as follows:

**Key support is at $128**—this is the so-called golden zone, and if it pulls back to this level, it’s worth considering. The resistance is at $135; if it can break above this point, it could head straight to $142. The current 1-hour RSI is at 42, which looks a bit weak but hasn’t turned bearish yet. The MACD bars are narrowing, suggesting the market is calm and a reversal could happen at any time.

**The most straightforward long strategy**: Look for opportunities to accumulate in the $128-130 range, especially if the RSI drops to 35-40 and the MACD starts shrinking. In this scenario, the upside targets are $135 and $142, with a stop-loss at $124. Basically, wait for institutions to consolidate and absorb, and the harder the pullback, the stronger the buying interest. If it breaks above $135 and holds above $136 with increased volume, you can chase the move, still targeting $142.

**Limited short opportunities**: Only consider shorting if it breaks below $128 with strong volume, aiming for $123-124.

**Risks to watch**: If the FOMC on December 11 is hawkish, SOL could be slammed down to $124-126 instantly. Also, if TVL drops below $8B, reduce positions immediately to manage risk.