2025-12-08 19:22:30

Woke up this morning and glanced at the market—BTC is still hovering around $90,000, so I went ahead and added to my position. This kind of sluggish price action is numbing for long-term traders; as long as we hold the $89,500 support and keep heading north, we're good. Trading this range back and forth is actually pretty comfortable.

During the day, I saw that MicroStrategy made another move—reportedly scooping up 10,000 BTC at an average price around $90,600, which kind of set a floor for the market. There’s also a lot going on with ETH: Bitmine has been accumulating lately, and Tom Lee is probably gritting his teeth and averaging down as well. Personally, I think Ethereum could see a decent rebound in December.

By the way, I changed my nickname to "Afo- Finance Guide" today. At this stage, still using the name "K-Line Tactics" feels a bit silly, and it makes people mistakenly think I’m just a technical analyst drawing lines. I’ve said it countless times—K-lines are just a tool, don’t treat the tool like a bible.

The real trading logic should be ordered like this: **Cycle and pattern analysis comes first, position management second, and specific entry points third**. Never get this order wrong. In the wrong market cycle, all support and resistance levels are meaningless. For example, right now—are you bullish or bearish?

Back to this Fed meeting: rate cuts themselves are no longer the focus—the market has priced in a nearly 90% probability already. What’s really worth watching are three things:
1. The quarterly dot plot update—will the neutral rate be adjusted up or down?
2. Powell’s language on the future rate cut path—is it a hawkish or dovish cut, and how will he bridge internal disagreements?
3. Most crucially—will the Fed hint at quantitative easing (QE)? After all, balance sheet reduction already stopped in December, but expansion hasn’t started yet. If QE expectations are released, it’d be a major bullish signal for crypto assets.

Looking ahead, the real volatility events aren’t this week’s FOMC meeting, but rather the **December 16 Nonfarm Payrolls and December 19 CPI data**. These are the first major data releases after the government shutdown ended and could directly determine the direction of this crypto cycle.

Finally, about ETH—as I mentioned before, when the price approaches Bitmine’s cost basis, the biggest potential sell pressure might come from Tom Lee’s firm. Personally, I prefer to wait for a pullback to around $2,500 before buying in; no matter what the market does next, that level is solid to hold.

BTC3,49%

ETH6,63%

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MEVSupportGroup

· 2025-12-11 07:02

MicroStrategy is again accumulating, and this rhythm is indeed steady. If can hold the 89,500 level, the bullish trend can continue. The tone of QE is the key, and the interest rate meeting is just a prelude. ETH at the 2500 level is easily achievable, and the average cost is certainly not limited to just tomlee. Slow market movement can be frustrating, but for long-term positions, it's not necessarily a bad thing. Expectations of rate cuts have already been priced in; now everyone is watching how subsequent statements will unfold. Cycle patterns > position management > entry points, this logic is sound, many people have truly misunderstood it. Non-farm payroll and CPI are the truly decisive moments; the release of these two data points can directly change the trend. BTC hovering around 90,000 should be considered fortunate; what else are you expecting?

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GasGuzzler

· 2025-12-10 18:48

MicroStrategy's recent move is indeed clever, giving retail investors a reassurance. Wait, can you really hold onto 2500? Non-farm payroll day is the real showtime; everything before was just a warm-up. Your nickname change is good, but the K-line trading strategy folks probably still buy when they should buy. Cycle > Position > Entry point, this order makes sense in theory, but in practice, it's easy to do the opposite.

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GameFiCritic

· 2025-12-08 22:45

MicroStrategy’s moves this time are indeed steady, but the real test is still ahead. Bitcoin’s repeated consolidation in this range is basically just waiting for major capital to make a decision. What I’m more concerned about, though, is ETH—can it really hold $2,500? That depends on how strong the fundamental support will be going forward.

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MEVvictim

· 2025-12-08 20:01

Bro, this trading logic is explained pretty well. I agree with the cycle priority part. MicroStrategy bought the dip again—are they really accumulating or just setting a trap for retail investors? The real game-changer is the December Non-Farm Payrolls report; no telling how the CPI day will play out. 2500 is indeed a good bottom-fishing level. As for ETH, it all depends on the Fed’s attitude. Honestly, people still drawing candlestick charts now are kind of outdated. Waiting for QE signals is way more effective than any technical analysis. So how will 120,000 be broken? Feels like we’re in for another two or three months of sideways action.

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liquidation_surfer

· 2025-12-08 19:51

MicroStrategy is buying in again, this guy is really gambling. --- If 89500 can't be broken, stop messing around. Guarding your position is the most important thing. --- Wait, did you change your name? Haha, finally stopped drawing lines. --- If QE really comes, this wave could be awesome till the end. --- Buying ETH at 2500? I think you can get in right now. --- Non-farm payroll data is the real game changer. --- I need to note down the order of your trading logic, so I don't mess it up again. --- MicroStrategy's move looks pretty tough. --- Is there any insider info about bitmine accumulating? Be honest. --- This slow market is pretty torturous. At least swing trading gives me something to do. --- QE expectations again—can we really count on it this time? --- Tom Lee is averaging down his cost. How much selling pressure will there be later? --- A candlestick chart is just a candlestick chart; don't mythologize it.

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StakeOrRegret

· 2025-12-08 19:44

MicroStrategy's move this time is pretty solid, giving the market some reassurance. --- It's tough, gotta wait for the Nonfarm Payrolls and CPI. These two data points are the real game changers. --- I agree with the logic of bottom-fishing ETH at 2500, much more reassuring than chasing the highs. --- Well said, candlesticks are just a tool, don’t turn yourself into a slave to indicators. --- If 89,500 can’t hold, it’ll probably test lower. Need some patience for the long term. --- If QE gets hinted at, it’ll really explode. Now we’re just waiting to see what Powell says. --- Bitmine is accumulating now, institutions haven’t left yet—this cycle is far from over. --- This turtle-paced grind is actually comfortable, much less stressful than riding a rollercoaster every day.

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DisillusiionOracle

· 2025-12-08 19:38

MicroStrategy's move is really ruthless, it directly gave the market a reassurance. --- Wait, the real catalyst is still the QE news, everything else is just a side dish. --- Buying the dip at 2500 is reliable, but Tom Lee's side is indeed a hidden risk. --- I've become numb to the turtle-paced grinding; that's just how it is for the long term. --- Nonfarm payrolls and CPI are the real watershed moments—we'll see the outcome next week. --- Cycle > Position size > Entry point, this logic is solid. Many people do get it backwards. --- The renaming is a good move—K-line trading strategies can indeed be misleading. --- If 89500 can't hold, it's time to reassess. Don't be stubborn. --- There's still a chance for an ETH rebound in this wave; let's watch for movement before the end of December. --- MicroStrategy's average entry price for buying the dip is a bit high, but it's not a big problem if they hold long-term.

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GateUser-9f682d4c

· 2025-12-08 19:38

Manipulate cycles and manage positions; don't be fooled by support levels. --- MicroStrategy is still accumulating, which means the big players know what they're doing. --- QE is the real catalyst; everything else is just noise. --- Bought the dip on ETH at 2500, waiting for this round of CPI data to settle before making a move. --- Nonfarm payroll and CPI are the decisive moments; keep a close eye on the 16th and 19th. --- What's wrong with moving at a turtle's pace? That's how long-term investing should be. --- As long as BTC holds 89,500, that's enough; don't expect it to skyrocket. --- Bitmine is accumulating, Tom Lee is following up, institutions are making their moves. --- Talking about support and resistance levels in the wrong cycle is pure nonsense. --- A December ETH rebound is basically a sure thing; the only question is how big the move will be.

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GasFeeGazer

· 2025-12-08 19:37

MicroStrategy's moves are pretty aggressive this time, they're buying BTC again. Did this guy change his name? Well, the era of K-line tactics is over. Nonfarm Payrolls on the 16th and CPI on the 19th, that's when we'll see the real deal. Buying ETH at 2500? I need to take another look, no rush. As long as 89500 holds, don't overthink it. MicroStrategy has been accumulating all along, their pace is pretty steady. Let's wait for Powell to hint at QE, nothing else matters. Cycles and patterns are more important than price levels, I've said this countless times. Not everyone can hold at 2500, those with weak mentality have already sold early.

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