#ETH走势分析 Why Do Your Contracts Always Get Liquidated? The Answer Might Surprise You

After nearly ten years of trading contracts, I’ve seen too many people blame liquidation on “bad luck.” But honestly, 90% of the time, it’s due to poor risk management.

Today, let’s break down some counterintuitive survival techniques—

**Myth Busted: High Leverage ≠ High Risk**
Many people get nervous when they see 100x leverage. In reality, if you only use 1% of your account balance to open a position, your actual risk exposure is the same level as using 1% of your funds to buy spot.

Remember this formula: Actual Risk = Leverage × Position Size as % of Account.
10x leverage at 10% position size is exactly the same risk as 100x leverage at 1%.

**Hard Data: Stop-Losses Are Your Lifeline**
During that market crash in 2024, stats showed that 78% of liquidated accounts had one thing in common—they stubbornly held on even after a 5% unrealized loss.

The veteran’s survival rule is simple: the max loss per trade should never exceed 2% of your total capital. This isn’t advice—it’s a hard red line.

**Position Sizing in Reverse: Calculate Your Max Loss First**
Here’s a practical formula:
Max Position Size = (Capital × 2%) ÷ (Stop-Loss Percentage × Leverage)

Example: With a $50,000 account, willing to risk a 2% loss ($1,000), using 10x leverage, and a 5% stop-loss.
You can only open a $5,000 position at most. Do the math before you act—don’t just go with your gut.

**The Art of Taking Profits: Scale Out in Batches**
The smartest approach I’ve seen:
- At 20% profit, take 1/3 off the table
- When it hits 50%, take another 1/3
- If the remaining position falls below the 5-day moving average, close out

Someone actually turned $50,000 into $1,000,000 last year with this method. The key is to overcome greed.

**Options Hedging: Buy Peace of Mind Cheap**
When holding a contract position, spend 1% of your funds on a put option (Put)—it’s like buying insurance for your account.
During the 2024 black swan event, those who used this trick preserved an average of 23% more capital. It can hedge against 80% of extreme risks.

**Profitability Formula in Math**
Whether you can make money can actually be calculated:
Expected Return = (Win Rate × Avg Win) - (Loss Rate × Avg Loss)

If your max loss per trade is 2% and your profit target is 20%, as long as your win rate is over 34%, you’ll make money in the long run. That’s math, not superstition.

**Four Iron Rules(Pin These to Your Screen)**
1. Max loss per trade ≤ 2% of capital
2. No more than 20 trades per year
3. Risk-reward ratio ≥ 3:1
4. Spend 70% of the time in cash, watching

The real moat in contract trading isn’t predicting price moves—it’s the self-discipline to stick to strict rules. Systematic discipline will always beat last-minute decisions.