2025-12-08 00:22:59

BTC and ETH holders, take note: the real test may not be the rate cut itself, but Powell's speech at 3:30 AM.

To put it bluntly, this rate cut is being forced. Powell has repeatedly emphasized "no rush to cut," and now he's suddenly backing down, clearly unable to withstand the pressure. But don't get excited too soon—his upcoming remarks will most likely pour cold water on the market, cooling things down and paving the way for a "pause in rate cuts." It's often this kind of reversal in expectations that triggers market volatility.

Why do I say this?

First, look at interest rates themselves. After being cut to 3.5%, they're already approaching the historical norm, no longer at those "restrictively high" levels. In other words, there's not much room left for further cuts.

Next, inflation. The data speaks for itself—3%, which is well above the Fed's 2% target. At the same time, the US economy is still pretty resilient, with no signs of recession. High inflation + solid economy—continuing to inject liquidity under these conditions? Logically, it doesn't add up, and it doesn't match Powell's usual stance.

So the most likely scenario is: Powell will go out of his way in his speech to stress that "inflation is still present" and "policy needs to remain steady," using hawkish language to suppress market expectations. Once there's a gap between expectations and reality, risk assets (including the crypto market) could see a panic pullback.

The window of time is right in front of us—get ready.

BTC-1,73%

ETH-2,79%

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FarmToRiches

· 2025-12-11 00:07

As soon as Powell opens his mouth, we have to run. This routine is too familiar.

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MEVHunterX

· 2025-12-10 20:34

The pit at 3:30 AM was dug long ago, Powell's move was slick --- Honestly, this round is really just a distraction, rate cuts are just a trap for retail investors --- 3.5% is almost at the bottom, still want to continue falling? Wake up everyone --- I'm just waiting for that speech, when the time comes, those trapped will be crying in line --- Inflation is at 3% but still emphasizing "policy stabilization"? I've seen this script ten times --- Friends trying to bottom fish, pay attention, your psychological price might need to go lower --- Instead of guessing what Powell will say, better watch how BTC moves, after all, the market never lies --- It's the same old "expectation reversal" trick, every time the same --- Still want to keep easing because the economy is still resilient? That mindset is really toxic --- At 3:30, how many stop-loss orders will be triggered? Just thinking about it is exciting

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MercilessHalal

· 2025-12-08 00:52

Here we go again? When Powell says "steady," it just means he's going to crash the market. I bet his 3:30 speech will be super hawkish again. --- Inflation is at 3% and they still want to keep the liquidity flowing? Whose logic is really off here? --- Rate cuts are just a smokescreen. The key is that sharp reversal in expectations—only those who get this will make it out alive. --- The economy is this strong and inflation is still this high? The logic just doesn't add up. Powell really needs to teach the market a lesson. --- 3.5% is already close to the bottom, and they still want to cut rates? Wake up, everyone. --- This time, it's really down to Powell's performance. No matter what he says, it can crash the market, so you'd better be mentally prepared. --- 3:30 a.m.? So I have to stay up late to watch the Fed Chair put on a show? Damn. --- I totally believe in a panic pullback for risk assets—the crypto market is always the first to get wrecked by a reversal in expectations.

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StableBoi

· 2025-12-08 00:46

Powell really knows how to shake things up. The rate cut is just an appetizer—the key is to see how he throws cold water on things.

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TokenStorm

· 2025-12-08 00:34

3.5% is indeed an awkward spot. As soon as the hawkish rhetoric comes out, risk assets have to kneel... My leverage liquidation price is right there waiting.

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CodeAuditQueen

· 2025-12-08 00:28

This logic chain is indeed clear, and it's quite similar to several reentrancy attack cases I've looked into before—on the surface there's a single action, but in reality, there's a hidden reverse operation. Powell's rhetoric is like an unchecked fallback function: it seems friendly, but it's actually a landmine.

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SchroedingerAirdrop

· 2025-12-08 00:25

The speech at 3:30 a.m. is the real killer; the rate cut is just a smokescreen. With Powell pouring cold water like this, the crypto market is in for another roller coaster—are you mentally prepared? With inflation stuck at 3%, he absolutely won’t continue easing. As soon as the hawkish rhetoric comes out, it’s time to run. This time, it’s not about the rate cut itself; the key is how he says it. One wrong word and the market will crash. A reversal of expectations is the real trigger—when that happens, both BTC and ETH will shake. There wasn’t much room for more rate cuts anyway, and now it’s even less likely. Better get ready to reduce your positions early. With a steady economy + high inflation, how could they keep easing? It just doesn’t make sense logically. Don’t be fooled by the little bit of good news about rate cuts—the real test is just beginning.

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ThatsNotARugPull

· 2025-12-08 00:24

Powell's mouth is even more lethal than the rate cut itself. Get ready to be backstabbed at 3:30 a.m.

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