2025-12-07 23:25:11

This week's gonna be packed with market-moving events. Buckle up.

Tuesday kicks off with September's JOLTS report—job openings data that'll give us a fresh read on labor demand. Then Wednesday hits different: the Fed drops their rate decision, and everyone's eyes will be glued to Powell's press conference right after. Thursday wraps it up with initial jobless claims numbers.

Here's where it gets interesting. The market's currently betting heavy on a quarter-point cut—we're talking 86% probability priced in for Wednesday's meeting. That's not just noise; that's serious conviction from traders positioning ahead of the decision.

With employment figures bookending the Fed's move, we're getting a full picture of where the economy stands and where policy's headed. Could set the tone for risk assets through year-end.

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HalfIsEmpty

· 2025-12-10 22:30

86% chance of betting on interest rate cuts, I bet this round can cut some leeks in the middle

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FalseProfitProphet

· 2025-12-09 16:11

An 86% probability is already set in stone. This week, we'll just wait to see if Powell will be dovish... Feels like the script has already been written.

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ponzi_poet

· 2025-12-07 23:52

86% probability? Hah, these traders are really willing to bet. I'm just worried the Fed might pull a surprise reversal.

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PseudoIntellectual

· 2025-12-07 23:51

An 86% probability has already been priced in. If the rate cut on Wednesday falls short of expectations, the market will likely tank immediately.

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DeFiDoctor

· 2025-12-07 23:50

An 86% probability has already been priced in, and that's the problem. Diagnosis records show that market expectations are excessively aligned, so if Powell's tone shifts even slightly, signs of capital outflow will appear immediately. It is recommended to regularly review liquidity indicators.

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NftDeepBreather

· 2025-12-07 23:42

86% probability? These traders are really daring to bet. If there’s no cut when the time comes, things will get interesting.

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