At the age of thirty, I started getting into cryptocurrency. Now, at thirty-eight, the years 2024 to 2025 have pushed my account balance into the eight-figure range. My daily routine now is just watching the market and making a few contract trades each day. My net assets have already exceeded sixty million, and holding #ETH走势分析 has greatly reduced my anxiety about life.

Over the years, I’ve observed and summarized a few market patterns:

Bitcoin is, most of the time, the barometer for the entire crypto market. Of course, there are exceptions—coins with strong fundamentals like $BTC occasionally move independently, but most altcoins can’t escape its gravitational pull.

There’s a clear seesaw effect between the prices of $XRP and USDT. When you see stablecoin premiums rising, you should be wary that Bitcoin might be about to correct; conversely, when Bitcoin is surging, it’s a good window to allocate into USDT.

From midnight to 1 a.m. is a period when rapid wicks often occur. Domestic traders can set low buy orders and high sell orders before going to bed—who knows, you might wake up in the morning to a pleasant surprise fill and score a bargain while you sleep.

The 6 to 8 a.m. window is key for observation. If there’s been a continuous drop from midnight to 6 a.m., and it keeps dropping in this window, it’s usually a good opportunity to bottom-fish or add to your position—the day will likely see a rebound. On the other hand, if the price has been rising overnight and continues to surge in the morning, that’s when you should consider reducing your position, as the market may correct during the day.

Pay special attention at 5 p.m.—due to the time difference, that’s when the U.S. market opens and capital flows can bring volatility. Historically, many major price swings have happened at this time.

As for the “Black Friday” theory, I think it’s mostly psychological. I have indeed seen a few Friday crashes, but there have also been big rallies or sideways moves. Just check the news and don’t take it too seriously.

If the coin you bought has enough trading depth, there’s no need to panic if you’re stuck in the short term. Hold patiently—usually, you’ll break even in as little as three to four days, or up to a month. If you have spare funds, average down in batches; if not, just wait it out. As long as it’s not a junk project, you’ll get another chance.

Spot trading really tests your patience—the same coin, if held long-term with less tinkering, usually yields higher returns than frequent trading. I bought Dogecoin at 0.1 back then and have held it till now, earning more than twenty times my investment, all thanks to holding steady.

Ethereum and Bitcoin often move in tandem, but ETH has its own narrative. It’s worth studying its technical upgrades and ecosystem development separately.