#ETH走势分析 Bitcoin and Ethereum Afternoon Market Update
Yesterday’s market was lukewarm. After touching 90,200 in the evening, it failed to hold, and this morning it dropped to a low of 88,800, fluctuating back and forth by 1,400 points. Now it’s hovering around 89,200 again. A quick reminder: this rebound is purely a technical correction, don’t mistake it for a reversal signal. The overall trend is still bearish.
A few technical details to note:
On the four-hour chart, the price is moving along the lower Bollinger Band, which continues to drop; MACD is weakening below the zero line, clearly indicating the bears are still in control. On the daily chart, three consecutive bearish candles have completely wiped out the previous rebound, and the downward momentum has picked up, with short-term rallies being suppressed.
Trading strategy reference:
Bitcoin: Consider shorting in the 89,800–90,300 range, with targets at 87,800–88,300. Ethereum: Set up short positions around 3,070–3,100, with target range at 2,800–2,950.
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ForkPrince
· 16h ago
Another wave of rebound was suppressed again. The bearish momentum is really quite strong. It feels like 87,800 is the real support level.
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DefiPlaybook
· 16h ago
According to on-chain data, this rebound indeed lacks fundamental support. TVL has not increased accordingly, and the probability that this is purely a technical correction is 82.4%. Risk warning: don't chase the highs.
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Looking at it from three dimensions: the lower Bollinger Band is still falling, MACD is weakening, and there have been consecutive bearish candles. These three indicators are all pointing to a bearish trend, but I suggest not acting solely based on any single signal in isolation.
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I agree with the idea of shorting at 89800, but you need to consider liquidation risk. Historical data shows that when the price drops below this level, leveraged liquidations can get very intense.
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When three consecutive bearish candles wipe out the previous rebound, based on my trading experience, the next step is to closely watch whether trading volume can keep up. Otherwise, this bearish signal could just be a false alarm.
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It's worth noting the Ethereum target range of 2800-2950. Based on historical volatility, the risk-reward ratio is only 1.8, which feels a bit too conservative.
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JPMorgan's recent report mentioned that these kinds of correction cycles typically last 2-3 weeks. We're only in the first week, so don't rush to buy the dip.
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zkNoob
· 16h ago
Another "technical correction," I'm honestly getting tired of hearing that. If it's a rebound, just call it a rebound—no need for all those fancy explanations.
If you short at 89800, I think that's risky... this level is too easy to get dumped. Better to wait until it breaks 88 before making a move.
I really can't figure out ETH's direction right now. Shorting at 3070 is definitely tempting, but I'm just worried there might be another fake rebound.
The lower Bollinger band keeps moving down, which is definitely a bearish signal. But when will it actually break through?
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Gm_Gn_Merchant
· 17h ago
Sigh, it's another so-called technical fix to fool people. They say this every time, but the price just keeps dropping.
Still hovering around 89200? Feels like there hasn’t been a real rise at all today.
The lower Bollinger band keeps moving down—this signal is just too obvious. The bears are really enjoying themselves.
I'm considering Ethereum at 3070, but I keep thinking it might get smashed through...
After a whole day, still can’t hold 90300. It’s getting frustrating.
Every time I short, there’s a rebound. Is this another BTC trap again?
Three consecutive bearish candles still can’t be swallowed—can the 87800 support hold below?
#ETH走势分析 Bitcoin and Ethereum Afternoon Market Update
Yesterday’s market was lukewarm. After touching 90,200 in the evening, it failed to hold, and this morning it dropped to a low of 88,800, fluctuating back and forth by 1,400 points. Now it’s hovering around 89,200 again. A quick reminder: this rebound is purely a technical correction, don’t mistake it for a reversal signal. The overall trend is still bearish.
A few technical details to note:
On the four-hour chart, the price is moving along the lower Bollinger Band, which continues to drop; MACD is weakening below the zero line, clearly indicating the bears are still in control. On the daily chart, three consecutive bearish candles have completely wiped out the previous rebound, and the downward momentum has picked up, with short-term rallies being suppressed.
Trading strategy reference:
Bitcoin: Consider shorting in the 89,800–90,300 range, with targets at 87,800–88,300.
Ethereum: Set up short positions around 3,070–3,100, with target range at 2,800–2,950.