After spending a long time fighting and struggling in this market, I’ve come to realize a harsh truth—the person in front of you could either be a genuinely skilled trader or just a lucky gambler riding the current trend, and you simply can’t tell at a glance.

An account doubling in value? It could be the result of precise judgment, or just a fluke. Consecutive profits? Maybe it's a systematic strategy, or maybe the next downturn will reveal their true colors. The trickiest thing about the market is this—short-term results can be deceiving, and sometimes luck matters more than skill.

The real answer might only be revealed in the next cycle, or even after several cycles.