#比特币对比代币化黄金 $BTC $ETH How bad have US economic indicators gotten? The data speaks for itself.

I just saw a set of data: the US leading economic indicators have been declining for four consecutive years, dropping to the lowest point since the 2008 financial crisis. Looking back at historical records, you’ll find that every time this indicator reaches this level, the economy is basically teetering on the edge of recession.

What does this have to do with the coins we hold? A lot.

The worse the economic data looks, the more likely the Fed is to open up its policy toolbox. The pace of rate hikes will slow down, or they may even switch back to an easing path. And when there’s more money in the market, mainstream assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum are often the first to benefit. Don’t forget, the last bull market took off against the backdrop of rampant liquidity.

While the current data warns of recession risks, from another perspective, it could also be a signal of a shift in monetary policy—historical experience tells us this is often the eve of a rebound in the crypto market.

The advice for ordinary investors is simple: don’t be scared off by short-term market fluctuations, and definitely don’t panic sell. What you should do now is stay calm, gradually buy the assets you have conviction in, and never use high leverage.

Cyclical rotation is normal; the key is whether you can stay rational when others are panicking. There are often real opportunities hidden behind the data.