XRP drops 31% causing panic; will history repeat with a 22% rebound?

Question

[Crypto World] XRP has dropped 31% over the past two months, and Santiment’s social sentiment tracking shows the panic index has spiked to its highest level since last October. Interestingly, the last time there was similar extreme panic in late November, XRP actually rallied by 22%.

On the spot ETF front, there’s been quite a bit of activity—several mainstream institutions have launched products, but the token price hasn’t taken off noticeably. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse is optimistic, though; he believes that over $700 million in ETF net inflows already show that institutional buyers are quietly building positions.

Historically, such extreme FUD often signals a reversal. Of course, whether the market will follow this script depends on upcoming liquidity and the macro environment.

OnchainHolmes · Accepted Answer

Extreme fear? I'm actually more excited. Retail investors are panic selling while institutions are quietly accumulating.

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Same old historical pattern repeating itself, can you believe it? The premise is that there are no macro blowups.

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A 31% drop is indeed fierce, but a $700 million ETF net inflow shows that the big players aren't scared. That's the real signal.

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Brad, this old fellow, is still quite optimistic. Now it just depends on whether the capital side buys it or not.

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Social sentiment is peaking... Usually, the most desperate moments are the most dangerous, everyone.

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I remember that 22% rebound in November, but this time the macro environment is different, so don't rigidly apply history.

SlowLearnerWang · Answer

Another 22% rebound joke again? I only regret what I said last time now—if I had known, I would have bought the dip.

Historical patterns and such... just listen, don’t take them too seriously. The market never follows the script.

Institutions are accumulating? Yeah, right. They’ll only hype it up after the price takes off.

This 31% drop is honestly brutal, but whatever anyone says now is just hindsight.

A $700 million ETF net inflow is considered “quiet accumulation”? Looks to me like not many people truly believe in it.

I don’t know where the next reversal point will be either, but there’ll definitely be someone saying “I knew it.”

The theory that extreme FUD = reversal signal... I’ve trusted it a few times, and got trapped every time.

Wait, isn’t this just another round of harvesting retail investors?

ForumLurker · Answer

Saying history will repeat itself again and again—how are the people who said that last time doing now?

I'm just going all in, it's all just FUD or whatever, might as well take a gamble.

Institutions building positions? Yeah, right. Getting excited over a net inflow of 700 million—those numbers sure look like a story.

A 31% drop, I really can't hold on anymore.

Wait, Brad is bullish again? He does this every time. I'll just watch and not comment.

Historical patterns? The patterns you mentioned already failed last year and this year, didn't they?

Retail investors should just lie flat and let the institutions cut each other up.

WenMoon · Answer

Will history repeat itself? I doubt it. The macro environment is different this time, so don’t be too superstitious about historical patterns.

A 22% rebound sounds nice, but with so much institutional money coming in and the price still dropping, what does that tell you?

Also, is it true what Brad said about $700 million net inflow? Feels like he’s exaggerating a bit.

A 31% drop is brutal, but what scares me more is if the rebound doesn’t come and the price keeps tanking—it’s really a test of nerves.

This round of ETFs felt like a fake-out, pretty much useless.

TokenomicsDetective · Answer

To be honest, a 31% drop isn't much; the key point is that institutions are quietly getting in.

Extreme fear and history repeating itself again—let's just see if the capital flow supports this or not.

A $700 million net inflow into ETFs does say something, and Brad is making promises again.

Is this a real rebound this time or are we about to see another dump? We'll have to wait for further macro developments to know.

Will history repeat itself? I think it's hard to say if this trend can even stop here.

MidnightSeller · Answer

A 31% drop is really unbearable, but anyone who saw that wave in November knows this is a buy-the-dip signal.

Here we go again—institutions are positioning themselves but the price is still flat, and even with $700 million ETF inflows, the market isn’t budging. This logic just doesn’t make sense.

Extreme fear = extreme opportunity. Will history repeat itself or will we keep breaking new lows? It all depends on who bleeds more in these next two weeks.

Brad is always so optimistic, but if I keep believing him, I’ll end up losing. The macro environment is the real boss here.

XRP drops 31% causing panic; will history repeat with a 22% rebound?

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