CryptoWorld News reports that, according to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, one account has wagered a total of $43,000 betting on the fall of the Iranian regime. Among these, $23,200 was placed on the outcome “before April 30” with a “yes” bet, opening at an average price of 15.6¢, currently at 15.5¢. This channel previously tracked this address on February 26, two days before the outbreak of the current Iran conflict, when it made large bets predicting the U.S. would launch military strikes against Iran. Two days later, the strike actually occurred, and this account ultimately profited over $500,000 from related market positions during the series of conflicts.
On March 13, the U.S. Department of Defense confirmed it ordered the deployment of the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit (approximately 2,200-2,500 personnel) and the amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli (LHA-7) to the Middle East. The unit was previously stationed in Okinawa, Japan, and is now crossing the Pacific, expected to arrive in the waters near Iran in “more than a week.” Defense officials stated that the core objectives include enhancing the security of U.S. embassies and consulates in the Middle East, executing potential civilian evacuations, serving as a maritime deterrent force, and preparing for amphibious raids and precise eliminations of Iranian maritime nodes threatening the Strait of Hormuz—rather than full-scale land warfare.
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