Macro Trends

Gate Research (Mar 7 - 13, 2025), this report provides a comprehensive analysis of key developments in the cryptocurrency market and macroeconomics. On March 7, U.S. nonfarm employment for February increased by 151,000, slightly below expectations, while the unemployment rate reached a new high. Trump signed an executive order officially establishing the U.S. Bitcoin Strategic Reserve. On March 10, the Utah Senate passed the Bitcoin bill, but the reserve investment provisions were removed. On March 11, the SEC shifted to a crypto-friendly stance and may withdraw exchange registration requirements. On March 12, the U.S. February unadjusted core CPI annual rate recorded 3.1%, the lowest since April 2021. The SEC delayed the approval of multiple spot cryptocurrency ETFs. On March 13, the state of Nebraska in the U.S. signed a Bitcoin ATM regulatory bill.

This article explores crypto firms expected to go public in 2025 and the factors influencing their valuations. It compares Coinbase’s market position with traditional financial powerhouse Charles Schwab, assesses the lasting impact of the 2021 valuation bubble, and examines how IPOs contribute to the legitimization of the crypto industry while attracting more capital investment.

Gate Research Weekly Review & Outlook: This week, BTC prices tested the $78,500 level twice, while ETH prices dropped to $1,750. Mentions of blockchain-related terms in SEC filings reached a record high in February. Securitize partnered with RedStone to enhance RWA data support, driving deeper development in on-chain finance. Meanwhile, Ripple obtained a Dubai license, expanding its crypto payment services to the Middle East. The BlackRock BUIDL Fund's TVL surged past $665 million, marking a new all-time high. Soneium's on-chain transaction volume reached $3.27 million, reflecting a 179% increase over seven days. Additionally, Morph Chain's TVL soared to $78 million, with BulbaSwap contributing over $71.38 million.

Despite this crypto-specific start, stablecoins have grown far beyond this original use case. They are now a tour de force for everyday currency transfers and are increasingly used to earn yield and facilitate real-world transactions.

Cross-chain technology plays a crucial role in enabling interoperability between different blockchain networks and is essential for the advancement of Web3. Rather than simply covering well-known cross-chain bridges, this article takes a deep dive into the leading cross-chain solutions in the industry today. It explores major interoperability protocols such as LayerZero, Wormhole, and Axelar, along with emerging trends like chain abstraction, intent-based systems, and chain aggregation (Agglayer). The analysis focuses on the core principles, use cases, and market impact of these solutions. By examining cross-chain technology from a technical perspective, this article highlights its potential to enhance blockchain ecosystem interoperability and asset liquidity while offering valuable insights and forward-looking perspectives for industry professionals.

Gate Research Daily Report: March 12, Bitcoin price rose 3.52% to 82,338.6 USD, while Ethereum price rose 0.86% to 1,879.61 USD. Yei Finance TVL surpassed 170 million USD. Veda TVL surpassed 2 billion USD. Solana DEX trading volume declined 95% from its January peak. Bubblemaps released BMT tokenomics. SEC delayed multiple spot cryptocurrency ETF approvals. The U.S. February core Consumer Price Index will be released tonight, with market expectations of a slight inflation decline.

This article provides an in-depth analysis of the current status of the U.S. debt cycle and its potential risks, reviews the debt cycle in U.S. history, discusses the measures the Federal Reserve may take in response to the debt crisis, and the impact of these measures on the market.

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 11, BTC price dropped 2.92% to 80,226 USD, while ETH price fell 9.62% to 1,867.95 USD. The crypto market evaporated $1.3 trillion, marking the largest quarterly pullback in history. The market capitalization of stablecoins rose to $227.17 billion, reaching an all-time high. The Thailand SEC approved USDT for compliant trading, marking a key step in digital asset regulation. Movement submitted a MOVE ETF application, with the Mainnet Beta launch driving ecosystem growth. The SEC has shifted to a crypto-friendly stance and may withdraw the exchange registration requirement.

The article provides practical strategies and advice for investors in a complex and ever-changing market through conversations with investment experts. It offers profound insights on both adjusting traditional portfolios and cautiously evaluating emerging areas such as cryptocurrency and artificial intelligence.

This article explores the economic background of tariff policies, historical lessons, and their potential impact on the U.S. financial markets and crypto assets. Amid the accelerating trend of de-dollarization, if crypto assets can maintain true decentralization, they may gain new geopolitical premiums in the global financial game. Forward the Original Title: “Trump Economics #5 | From Tariffs to Crypto Reserves: What Kind of Game Is Trump Playing?”

February 2025 was a dynamic month for blockchain and crypto, with significant events shaping the industry. Key projects like Ethereum, Metamask, SMID-96, Stackstone, and Hyperliquid saw major developments, including platform launches, service expansions, token issuances, feature rollouts, mainnet activations, fee voting, and mining activities. These advancements highlight ongoing innovation, foster technological and community growth, and provide fresh momentum for the industry’s expansion.

If there is no innovation / Narrative in 2025, I believe the market will have 2 directions: 1. New DeFi Innovation driven by the growing stablecoins market. 2. Pro-crypto policy that pumps "made in USA" crypto.

The article reveals various problems in the process of issuance, including unlocked capital pools, early jumping by insiders, and "rat warehouses". It also discusses the team operations and the collapse of market trust behind celebrity currency issuance. By comparing other cases of celebrity currency issuance, the article points out that this harvesting model is unsustainable and provides a profound warning to investors and celebrities.

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 10, Bitcoin price dropped 3.62% to $82,454.3, and Ethereum price fell 4.98% to $2,071.02. Level TVL surpassed 80 million USD. Fulcrom TVL exceeded 18 million USD. The market cap of stablecoins on the Sui chain broke 600 million USD, setting a new all-time high. The White House stated that the United States will become a Bitcoin superpower, marking the beginning of a golden era. The Utah Senate passed the Bitcoin bill, but the reserve investment clause was removed. The Japanese government approved cryptocurrency brokerage business and stablecoin reforms.

This article examines Bitcoin’s journey toward becoming a recognized reserve asset, reviews legislative developments across various jurisdictions, explores the key drivers and obstacles influencing its adoption, and outlines three possible future scenarios.