What Do Derivatives Market Signals Reveal About SHIB's Price Momentum?

The article examines SHIB's price momentum through derivatives market signals, highlighting an increase in futures open interest by $20 million over four days, signaling trader confidence. Positive funding rates suggest bullish sentiment, evidenced by daily and weekly price gains. Despite this, the formation of a death cross raises concerns of bearish momentum, affecting SHIB's long-term trend. The article targets traders seeking insights into SHIB's market dynamics and decision-making based on derivatives and technical indicators. Key themes include market sentiment shifts, open interest changes, and funding rates impact.

SHIB futures open interest increases by $20 million in 4 days

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Shiba Inu's derivatives market is experiencing remarkable momentum as futures open interest surged by $20 million over a four-day period. According to CoinGlass data, SHIB's open interest reached $78.57 million within the last 24 hours, representing a 5% increase that signals strengthening trader confidence in the memecoin's price movements.

This surge reflects a significant shift in market dynamics, with leverage demand intensifying across derivatives platforms. The recent rally demonstrates that open positions in SHIB futures contracts have climbed to their highest levels since December, indicating substantial capital inflows into the derivatives sector. The expansion of open interest by $20 million showcases accelerating participation from traders anticipating notable price volatility.

Market Metric Current Level Change
Open Interest $78.57 Million +5% (24h)
Recent Increase $20 Million 4-day period
Historical Peak $328 Million July 22, 2025

The heightened derivatives activity correlates with broader market sentiment shifts, as capital rotates from major assets toward higher-volatility altcoins. This increased leverage demand could trigger significant price movements and potential liquidations in the coming period. Traders should remain vigilant regarding sudden volatility spikes, as the expanding open interest typically precedes pronounced market swings in the memecoin space.

Funding rates remain positive, signaling bullish sentiment

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SHIB's derivatives market demonstrates compelling bullish momentum through sustained positive funding rates. When funding rates remain positive, traders holding long positions pay short positions, creating a financial incentive structure that rewards optimistic market participants. This mechanism reflects strong confidence among institutional and retail traders alike.

According to recent market data, SHIB's funding rate has maintained positive territory following several consolidation days, indicating increased capital inflow into long positions. This shift represents a notable reversal of sentiment across futures markets, where traders previously exercised caution. The positive funding rate environment correlates directly with SHIB's 0.65% daily price increase and 3.01% weekly gains recorded in December 2025.

The relationship between positive funding rates and price performance becomes particularly evident when examining market dynamics. Higher funding rates typically precede rallies, as they reflect genuine trader conviction rather than speculative positioning. With SHIB trading at $0.000008826 and maintaining positive perpetual contract rates, derivatives traders are actively positioning for upside movement.

This bullish funding rate structure validates technical patterns emerging on the daily charts. The convergence of positive funding sentiment with rising burn rates creates a dual catalyst environment. Market participants leverage funding rate data as a leading indicator, recognizing that sustained positive rates signal confidence in sustained price appreciation rather than temporary volatility spikes.

Death cross formation on daily chart raises bearish concerns

In 2025, Shiba Inu (SHIB) experienced a significant technical breakdown when the 50-day moving average crossed below the 200-day moving average on its daily chart, forming what traders call a death cross. This pattern emerged twice during the year—first in February and again in September—signaling sustained bearish momentum in the market.

The death cross represents a critical shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish momentum. Unlike more immediate indicators such as RSI or MACD that identify short-term overbought conditions, the death cross operates as a lagging indicator reflecting longer-term directional changes. When the 50-day MA falls below the 200-day MA, it suggests that short-term price action has turned decisively negative relative to the longer-term trend.

For SHIB holders, the implications proved substantial. Following the September death cross formation, the token declined from approximately $0.00001287 to $0.000008826 by early December, representing a notable drawdown. The pattern's reliability lies in its ability to capture sustained downward pressure rather than predicting exact price movements.

However, traders should recognize that death crosses function as confirmation tools rather than predictive mechanisms. They identify trends already underway but may not signal exact reversal points or recovery timing. SHIB's experience demonstrates that while death crosses warrant cautious positioning, they require complementary analysis of support levels, volume patterns, and broader market conditions for comprehensive trading decisions.

FAQ

Is shib coin worth anything?

Yes, SHIB coin has value. As of 2025, it's a popular meme token with a large market cap and active ecosystem. Its worth is driven by community support, token burns, and Shibarium development.

Will shiba coin reach $1?

No, SHIB is unlikely to reach $1 in the near future due to its massive supply and current market conditions.

How high will Shiba Inu go in 2025?

Based on current predictions, Shiba Inu could reach $0.0₅8723 by December 2025, representing a significant increase from its current price.

Will Shiba hit $1 in 2040?

It's highly unlikely. Current predictions suggest SHIB won't reach $1 or even $0.001 by 2040. Long-term forecasts for SHIB's price remain pessimistic.

* The information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other recommendation of any sort offered or endorsed by Gate.