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March 13 Review
The following operations are solely for my personal record-keeping purposes. They carry significant risk; do not follow the trend blindly.
Today’s Operations
Morning Session
Placed an order overnight to buy Zhongnan Culture.
No operations in the afternoon.
Current Holdings
40% Zhongnan Culture
60% Cash
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Market Sentiment
The market maintained volatility in the early session, with a sharp plunge in the afternoon. The Shanghai Composite once fell over 1%, with a transaction volume of 2.41 trillion yuan. Compared to yesterday, trading volume slightly decreased.
Currently, the index is forming a box pattern, with short-term risk aversion strong. Expect continued consolidation in the near future.
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Data Summary
Limit-up stocks: 59, median number, slightly higher than yesterday (52).
Trend: 74-55-53-52-59. Limit-up count remains moderate and low, indicating continued low market sentiment in the short term.
Consecutive limit-up days: 11-6-10-8-8.
Two days below 10, indicating weak rally momentum.
Limit-down stocks: 13, high at the moment, significantly increased from yesterday (2).
Trend: 3-4-2-2-13. Rapid growth in loss-making effects.
Limit-up board sealing rate: 77%.
Trend: 56%-71%-75%-71%-77%.
Sealing rate remains around the median.
Number of advancing and declining stocks: 1502 vs. 3828.
Number of advancing stocks unchanged from yesterday, indicating low market sentiment.
Trend: 1423-4536-2060-1494-1502.
Market height: 4-5-4-4-5.
Space height increasing.
Data Summary
The index fell sharply, with the number of advancing stocks, limit-ups, and consecutive limit-up days all low. Limit-down stocks surged, combined with a retreat in power stocks, leading to a dual decline in index sentiment today. The loss-making effect expanded rapidly. Operation-wise, reduce positions and focus on defense.
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Market Main Line: None
Sub-line Hotspots: Power and Electricity Collaboration (Cross-sector theme)
Intraday Hotspot: Infinite rotation
Leading Stocks in Consecutive Limit-ups: Zhongnan Culture (5)
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Market Nodes:
5 Limit-up: Oil & Gas plunge + Power & Electricity Collaboration volume surge node
First Limit-up: Space sector volume surge node + Power retreat node
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Today’s Break and Reversal of Consecutive Limit-ups:
Reis Kanda (CPO, computing power)
Yesterday’s Break and Reversal of Limit-ups: None
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Sentiment Cycle Analysis
Long-term position: Rotation cycle (risk aversion cycle)
Short-term position: Sentiment retreat day
Loss-making effect: Large
Cycle height: 7
Breakout Leader: Yunnan Energy Holdings (7)
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Market Observation
Breakout leader + trend crossover leader Yunnan Energy Holdings hit the limit down. The rebound leader Shun Na shares also hit the limit down. If there is no rebound on Monday, the main upward trend in power stocks will end. The entire sector is choppy, trend-driven, with no clear leading core or high consecutive limit-up levels. Today’s retreat helps prepare for new themes.
The market rotated quickly throughout the day. During the power retreat phase, no standout new themes appeared, making overall participation less valuable. Better opportunities require continued patience.
This cycle saw Yunnan Energy break out and oil & gas start strong, but the main rise failed. The market then shifted to rally around the “Power & Electricity Collaboration” concept, which I classify as a crossover theme rather than a main upward theme, due to its similar attributes to Yunnan Energy. The sector trend is dominant, and overall trading experience is poor. Even with major themes like the Middle East war, this cycle failed, indicating how poor the recent rally sentiment has become.
Currently, the market is likely entering a retreat phase. Short-term, focus on defense and control your trades.
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Personal Holdings
Bought Stock: Zhongnan Culture
Volume has increased for two consecutive days, with a high probability of continued volume today. Could buy overnight, so I held overnight. Power stocks retreated today, Zhongnan Culture’s volume was large, expecting a rebound on Monday.
On Monday, observe Yunnan Energy and Shun Na feedback. Both stocks hit the limit down today. If power stocks rebound on Monday, Zhongnan Culture can continue to hold. Otherwise, sell promptly.
Note: For compliance, future reviews will no longer include images.
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Monday Trading Plan
If power stocks truly retreat, the market will re-enter a rotation cycle, so prioritize defense.
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Trading Inspiration
Enhancing aesthetic judgment is the best defense.
As long as you stick to your theme and stock aesthetic standards, you will naturally filter out most stocks, or even all. Therefore, during poor rally sentiment, there may be no stocks to buy.
Once a pattern is fixed and becomes habitual, the upward fluctuations in the market will be hard to trigger impulsive trades, helping you control your hands.
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Remarks
Please read the article carefully. I will not answer questions about content already covered in the review.
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Disclaimer
The above stocks are not recommendations. They are for review purposes only. Make your own trading decisions and bear the risks!
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