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# Ordinary People Can Only Gamble to Beat the Market
The market is an all-knowing Laplace's demon. It anticipates everything in advance and directly prices in the results after gaming plays out. So ordinary people can only gamble by thinking two steps ahead.
For example: predicting Trump will end the war, predicting a Fed rate cut, predicting the true AI wave will hit in the second half of '26. Or betting against these predictions.
Win the bet and you'll dominate the next cycle. Lose and you admit your mistake and find your position.