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Thursday's market focused on Middle East geopolitical risks, with risk-off sentiment driving the trends: the US dollar index posted three consecutive gains, closing up 0.49% at 99.75 and approaching the 100 level, while US Treasury yields fluctuated modestly; pressured by strong dollar and inflation concerns that dampened rate-cut expectations, gold and silver plunged significantly, with gold dropping over $100 during the session; escalating geopolitical conflicts triggered an oil rally, with WTI and Brent crude surging nearly 9% and 8.1% respectively, with Brent crude closing above $100 for the first time in nearly four years; US and European equities fell across the board, with the three major US indices declining over 1.5%, and tech stocks broadly weakening; the crypto market rallied with volatility, Bitcoin holding above $70,000, Ethereum rebounding above $2,100, and altcoin sectors showing active rotation. Going forward, continued focus is needed on capital sentiment and key resistance performance. YIBO will continue tracking Fed policy implementation, institutional fund flows, on-chain data changes and other core signals, with real-time updates on positioning strategies and target dynamics.
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Bitcoin yesterday formed a daily small doji after rallying to around 70,200 and pulling back to consolidate at 69,200, then rebounding to around 70,800 in late trading. After retesting 69,400 in the early morning, it continued oscillating upward. This morning at market open, it surged sharply above 71,500, forming a full daily bullish candle on the 4-hour chart. Key focus is on whether the 72,200 resistance above can be effectively broken; a break would target the 73,000-74,500 range for testing. Failure to stabilize there would likely see pullback into the 69,000 support box range. Combined with potentially increased volatility on Friday, it's recommended to lay out positions using key support and resistance pivot points, and follow through on breakouts.
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Ethereum's daily chart shows consecutive bullish candles. Yesterday morning it rallied to 2,082 and pulled back; at midday it tested down to 2,016 and stabilized with oscillation upward. In the evening it spiked to 2,094 before retreating to the 2,035 range for consolidation. This morning the session opened with strong momentum, rallying to above 2,140. Key focus is on whether the 2,165-2,180 zone above can stabilize; a break would target 2,220. After stabilization, the daily channel opens up with potential to advance toward the previous consolidation platform at 2,350-2,420. If unable to stabilize, price action would pull back and run within the 2,000-1,980 box range.