Prospects for Bitcoin and Gold Growth in 2026

In 2025, investors have high expectations for the cryptocurrency sector, hoping that President Trump will fulfill his numerous policy commitments supporting cryptocurrencies at that time.

However, after Bitcoin reached a historic high of $126,000 in October, it subsequently experienced a nearly 30% decline over the next three months, ending the year at $88,000, with an annual decline of 6.3%.

In stark contrast, in 2025, the prices of gold and silver increased by approximately 65% and 150%, respectively, and the S&P 500 index also achieved a 16% gain.

Even when looking at the short-term performance over the past three months alone, gold still rose by 11%, while Bitcoin fell by 26% during the same period, currently hovering near the $90,000 mark.

This significant performance disparity has sparked different interpretations of the outlook for 2026. Some believe that after a deep correction, cryptocurrencies are now more attractive relative to traditional assets that have already reached new highs, with greater potential for upward movement.

However, the cryptocurrency market is also facing reality, with investor confidence eroded and retail interest cooling. This means that market recovery will not be an immediate short-term rebound but will require a longer cycle of adjustment.

Looking ahead to 2026, several key factors may determine the ultimate direction of different assets. On a macro level, the monetary policy paths of major global central banks and the implementation of regulatory policies following the US elections will set the tone for the overall risk asset trends.

Specifically, for different assets, whether mainstream applications in cryptocurrencies can achieve breakthrough progress or attract sustained institutional capital inflows will be the core endogenous drivers to reverse the current weakness;

Meanwhile, the trend of gold is deeply linked to global geopolitical risks, de-dollarization trends, and other factors. Therefore, under different market environments, gold and cryptocurrencies may exhibit a divergence between “safe-haven assets” and “risk assets.”

In summary, it is still too early to assert that a particular asset class will have the “most” growth potential in 2026. The future market trajectory will ultimately depend on a complex interplay and resonance of macroeconomic trends, regulatory policy directions, and the narrative logic of the assets themselves.

#比特币 #Gold