My recent actions involved building positions in SOL and DOGE over the weekend as planned. The goal is very clear—targeting 180 for SOL, and pushing DOGE to 0.22, which should be achievable in 6 to 8 weeks at this pace. The subsequent plan is to switch gears and go short, waiting for that final bottoming opportunity.
But what we really need to be cautious about is the bigger picture. 2026 will become a critical "liquidation year" for the United States. Carefully examining the situation, the US now possesses almost all the core conditions that have historically triggered financial crises. A global financial earthquake is brewing, gathering momentum.
Let’s review how we got to this point in history. After the dot-com bubble burst in the early 21st century, the Federal Reserve kept cutting interest rates to historic lows. The banking system was flooded with cheap money but lacked good lending opportunities. What did they do? Banks came up with a solution—launching subprime mortgages, bringing in high-risk groups with low income and poor credit histories for loans. Even more astonishing, these essentially bad debts were packaged, restructured, and branded with "AAA safety ratings," turned into shiny financial derivatives, and sold to global institutional investors. The risk was effectively transferred to others.
The aftermath of low interest rate policies was hyperinflation. The Federal Reserve couldn’t stop raising rates from 2004 onward, doing so 17 times in a row. Rising interest rates hit subprime borrowers hard—monthly payments on floating-rate loans skyrocketed, leading many to default or stop payments. Meanwhile, those so-called "high-quality derivatives" held by global institutions suddenly became unwanted junk, with prices plummeting freely.
In 2008, Lehman Brothers collapsed due to holding too many of these toxic assets, directly triggering a collapse of confidence across the entire financial market. Liquidity froze overnight. The crisis spread from Wall Street to the entire world—massive corporate bankruptcies, soaring unemployment, and the worst recession since the Great Depression.
Today’s America is essentially an upgraded version of that crisis template...
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BridgeNomad
· 3h ago
ngl the 2008 parallels hit different when you map the attack vectors... systemic risk hasn't been patched, just repackaged into new derivatives. same liquidity fragmentation problem, different layer.
Reply0
SeasonedInvestor
· 3h ago
SOL 180, DOGE 0.22, this pace is on point. I'm just worried that when 2026 really hits, everyone will have to go down with their positions.
That 2008 playbook is making a comeback now. The Federal Reserve really knows how to play... Risks are always someone else's fault.
Hearing you say that, it feels like going all-in now isn't as good as just holding cash and waiting for that final bloodbath opportunity.
The lessons from 2008 are so deep. Wall Street really hasn't learned its lesson.
Subprime, derivatives, AAA ratings—are they bringing this combo back again? Brother, can you dodge the top this time?
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MrDecoder
· 3h ago
I'm also watching the positions of SOL and DOGE, but your logic about the 2026 liquidation year really hits the point. History really does repeat itself.
But on the other hand, the current situation is more complicated than in 2008, and the Federal Reserve's tools are not as sufficient anymore.
A 6 to 8-week cycle prediction feels too optimistic; this cycle might last longer than expected.
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LostBetweenChains
· 4h ago
6 to 8 weeks to reach the target? Bro, I’m betting on this pace.
Wait, the idea of 2026 being the liquidation year... it feels like another doomsday theory, just like last year.
I'm also watching SOL at 180, but honestly, I’m a bit nervous about opening a position right now.
I’ve heard this historical repetition logic too many times, but the risks are indeed accumulating.
The key is that shorting wave, but it’s still a bit early now.
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SandwichDetector
· 4h ago
Bro, I've heard this 2026 prediction many times before, but is there really someone shouting about a financial earthquake every year? I'm watching the positions of SOL and DOGE, but compared to this countdown story, I’m more interested in seeing how you manage to hit the mark with your six-eight week rhythm.
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ForkTrooper
· 4h ago
Wow, you're painting a big picture for us again, the year 2026 for liquidation? Let's first make the 180 of SOL and 0.22 of DOGE profit before we talk about anything else.
Wait, this time the logic behind the loan risk... does sound like a replay of an old script, and it's a bit unsettling.
My recent actions involved building positions in SOL and DOGE over the weekend as planned. The goal is very clear—targeting 180 for SOL, and pushing DOGE to 0.22, which should be achievable in 6 to 8 weeks at this pace. The subsequent plan is to switch gears and go short, waiting for that final bottoming opportunity.
But what we really need to be cautious about is the bigger picture. 2026 will become a critical "liquidation year" for the United States. Carefully examining the situation, the US now possesses almost all the core conditions that have historically triggered financial crises. A global financial earthquake is brewing, gathering momentum.
Let’s review how we got to this point in history. After the dot-com bubble burst in the early 21st century, the Federal Reserve kept cutting interest rates to historic lows. The banking system was flooded with cheap money but lacked good lending opportunities. What did they do? Banks came up with a solution—launching subprime mortgages, bringing in high-risk groups with low income and poor credit histories for loans. Even more astonishing, these essentially bad debts were packaged, restructured, and branded with "AAA safety ratings," turned into shiny financial derivatives, and sold to global institutional investors. The risk was effectively transferred to others.
The aftermath of low interest rate policies was hyperinflation. The Federal Reserve couldn’t stop raising rates from 2004 onward, doing so 17 times in a row. Rising interest rates hit subprime borrowers hard—monthly payments on floating-rate loans skyrocketed, leading many to default or stop payments. Meanwhile, those so-called "high-quality derivatives" held by global institutions suddenly became unwanted junk, with prices plummeting freely.
In 2008, Lehman Brothers collapsed due to holding too many of these toxic assets, directly triggering a collapse of confidence across the entire financial market. Liquidity froze overnight. The crisis spread from Wall Street to the entire world—massive corporate bankruptcies, soaring unemployment, and the worst recession since the Great Depression.
Today’s America is essentially an upgraded version of that crisis template...