Starting a business is like playing cards; the skill isn't in luck but in understanding the situation. There's a saying that makes a lot of sense: when playing cards, first go to the tables with fools and lots of money, then to the tables with strong players and lots of money, and finally to the tables with less money and fools. Never recklessly jump into a red ocean that's both poor and full of experts.

Applying this logic to entrepreneurship, it can be roughly divided into four quadrants:

**Track with fools and lots of money** — Users are willing to spend freely but make irrational decisions; the market size is considerable but competition is moderate. Opportunities here are most likely to produce quick profit projects with fast gains.

**Position with strong players and lots of money** — The ceiling is extremely high, and the market capacity is huge, but top players cluster together, and big companies are also fighting for territory. Competition is fierce, requiring real skill to survive.

**Niche areas with little money and fools** — The market is niche and unpopular, users are unprofessional, and competitors are scarce. However, the scale is inherently limited, and the average transaction value won't be too high.

**Red ocean that's both poor and competitive** — This is the death knell for entrepreneurs. The market is saturated, competition is intense, and profit margins are squeezed to nothing. New entrants have almost no chance to stand out.

But there's a twist — the same track can have completely different dynamics in different sub-markets. In paid knowledge, teaching people to do overseas business often falls into the poor and competitive category, but teaching about healthy relationships or spiritual growth can turn into a fool-and-rich scenario. Looking at cryptocurrency, the market can shift from bull to bear within half a year; timing is as crucial as luck.

Currently, popular tracks like e-commerce, AI drawing, AI tools, digital assets, cross-border payments, and robotics each sit at different tables. This is a question every entrepreneur should seriously consider. Choosing the right quadrant is just the beginning; the rest is a matter of execution.