The Greenland acquisition question just got real on Polymarket.

After months of quiet, the prediction market tracking whether Trump will acquire Greenland before 2027 suddenly surged back into focus in January 2026. The trigger? Fresh commentary from Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, both emphasizing Greenland's strategic importance to U.S. national security—particularly regarding Arctic positioning and control of rare earth resources.

What started as internet speculation has morphed into something traders are actually pricing in. The market resurgence signals genuine uncertainty around geopolitical power plays in the Arctic region. Whether this reflects serious policy intent or political theater, crypto prediction markets are capturing what traditional betting won't touch: the probability of unconventional territorial moves in an era of great power competition.

The rare earth angle matters most here. Greenland sits on massive mineral deposits critical for semiconductor manufacturing and green energy tech—exactly the resources both the U.S. and other powers are scrambling to secure.