【Follow the trend carefully, if you can't hold, don't resist】

In the next 26 hours, Bitcoin is likely to experience a fierce downward trend. Instead of guessing where the rebound might occur, it's better to first understand the risks.

**Phase One: Risk Ignition (January 11, 10:20-15:00)**

This is the most critical period in the early session. From the current level around 91,000, a new rapid decline could directly begin. Between 11:00 AM and 1:00 PM, the decline may further accelerate — this is the most dangerous time window of the day. After 1:00 PM, a weak rebound or sideways consolidation might occur, but the rebound strength will be limited — essentially a continuation of the decline.

**Phase Two: Panic Spreading (January 11, 15:00 - January 12, 1:00)**

Starting at 3:00 PM, the downward trend will continue and may even accelerate. Between 3:00 and 5:00 PM, be especially cautious of a second wave of heavy selling — this is often the most intense phase of the market. From 9:00 PM to midnight, it will likely be a session of downward decline with low-level oscillation. Liquidity will significantly deteriorate, rebounds will be weak, and it will be a battle between bulls and bears.

**Phase Three: Weak Bottoming (January 12, 1:00 - 12:00)**

From 1:00 AM to 5:00 AM, the market will be relatively quiet, and it’s most likely to touch the intraday lows. After 5:00 AM, a technical small rebound may occur after a sharp decline. But don’t be overly optimistic — such a rebound is at best a correction to the sharp fall.

**Key Levels to Watch**

The current situation is clear: with the price around 91,000, the risk of breaking downward is much greater than the chance of an upward rebound.

- Resistance for a weak rebound is around 92,500-93,500
- The real strong resistance / stop-loss level is at 95,000 — only a confirmed break above this can ease the short-term crisis
- The first target for decline is around 87,000-88,000
- The core target is 84,000-85,000, which is also an important support zone previously analyzed

The most dangerous periods are from 10:20 to 13:00 on the 11th, and from 15:00 to 17:00 in the afternoon.

**What to do**

Current holdings should be treated as high risk. If the price consolidates around 91,000 and cannot push above 92,500, it’s a signal to exit.

Throughout the 11th, the strategy should be to short on rallies or stay on the sidelines — avoid trying to bottom fish. The real short opportunity may come after the initial sharp decline in the morning, during that weak rebound.

On the morning of the 12th, if the previous night’s decline was large enough, watch for a very short-term oversold rebound — treat this as a technical correction, and exit quickly after gains, avoid greed.

In short, from 10:20 AM on the 11th to 12:00 noon on the 12th, another intense decline is very likely to be underway. The current price level is not support but the starting point of risk ignition.