2026-01-10 20:07:47

In the prediction market for sports betting, I've been playing for the 62nd day. Today I had a good feeling, hitting both bets, finally recovering some losses.

Recently, I've mainly been watching the changes in the odds. For events like the NBA, the initial odds are usually set at a certain point, and then they gradually adjust based on betting flow and public opinion. The initial line for this game was -8.5, and before the game, it was widely steamed up to -9.5, which looks quite deep. But I studied the actual matchup strength of both teams and felt that this depth was a bit excessive, not really supporting such a large point difference expectation. I'm actually more optimistic about the underdog.

The most interesting part of the prediction market is this — you need to understand both market sentiment and fundamentals at the same time to find odds that are overestimated or underestimated.

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CryptoFortuneTeller

· 20h ago

Still alive after 62 days, not bad, not bad. But I just want to ask—can we really trust this -9.5? It feels like retail investors are being pulled in.

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MemeCoinSavant

· 20h ago

yo 62 days deep and finally catching some W's... the real thesis here is arbitraging between what the market thinks and what actually goes down on court ngl

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PoolJumper

· 20h ago

It's been 62 days of still grinding on the market, how strong is this mentality haha You dare to post after hitting two in a row, but what if your feel for the game is off one day?

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SnapshotDayLaborer

· 20h ago

It's been 62 days of fierce battle. How strong must that mentality be? Haha A difference of just one point in odds can turn the game around. You really need to be sharp, or else those following the trend will get caught and harvested.

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PaperHandsCriminal

· 20h ago

62 days to recover some health, how tough that must be haha The game between market sentiment and fundamentals is well explained, but how many people can truly understand both... We retail investors are often just led around by the market movements.

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ApyWhisperer