Bitcoin's 2026 seasonal outlook is worth tracking. Historical data tells a clear story: the second half of the year consistently outperforms, with Q3 and Q4 driving the strongest market momentum.

Here's what the patterns show us. After year-end swings, the market typically enters a consolidation phase early on—this is normal behavior. Then summer arrives, and activity tends to cool down. Lower trading volumes become the norm during these months.

But come Q3, things shift. The momentum builds, and by Q4, Bitcoin often hits its stride with strong upside pressure. If historical precedent holds, positioning ahead of this seasonal window could be strategically sound. The data suggests this rhythm has held remarkably well across multiple market cycles, making it a pattern worth keeping in your radar for the year ahead.