#预测市场 The probability of Bitcoin falling below 80,000 in December has dropped to 9%, what does this indicate? There are really quite a few bullish people in the market. Polymarket's data also shows a 10% chance of breaking above $95,000, and only a 3% chance of falling below $75,000.
From this probability distribution, it is generally believed that Bitcoin is more likely to continue upward or stay within the $80,000-$95,000 range. The community's sentiment is indeed quite optimistic; otherwise, these probability figures wouldn't look like this.
However, predictions in the market are just for fun; the real factor that determines the price is the subsequent actual trend. Anyway, the current atmosphere is more bullish, and how things will develop next depends on future news and capital movements.
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#预测市场 The probability of Bitcoin falling below 80,000 in December has dropped to 9%, what does this indicate? There are really quite a few bullish people in the market. Polymarket's data also shows a 10% chance of breaking above $95,000, and only a 3% chance of falling below $75,000.
From this probability distribution, it is generally believed that Bitcoin is more likely to continue upward or stay within the $80,000-$95,000 range. The community's sentiment is indeed quite optimistic; otherwise, these probability figures wouldn't look like this.
However, predictions in the market are just for fun; the real factor that determines the price is the subsequent actual trend. Anyway, the current atmosphere is more bullish, and how things will develop next depends on future news and capital movements.