2026-01-10 12:31:16

Remember that time when I had only 13U left in my account and I put it into a contract. I didn't expect to win, but I did—my account skyrocketed from 13U to 91, then to 2000, and finally back to zero.

Last week, I was feeling lucky, winning 20 out of 24 trades, an 80% win rate. My account grew from 20U to 120U, and I was full of confidence. But looking back now, it was just an illusion. The past two days, it all collapsed again, with the win rate dropping to just over 50%, and I can't seem to find the feeling anymore.

The funniest part is, every time I start "seriously analyzing" whether the next candle will be bearish or bullish, my performance takes a nosedive. Conversely, when I just trade impulsively based on intuition, I tend to make more profit. Now I'm completely confused—what am I even doing? Am I trading or gambling?

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TradFiRefugee

· 13m ago

This is a typical case of luck being mistaken for skill haha --- Feels like you're describing myself... I also experienced that day with an 80% win rate --- Analyzing instead causes losses, while random actions sometimes lead to gains? That's the most ironic part --- From 13 to 2000 and back to zero, this roller coaster is truly insane --- Honestly, I still haven't figured out what I'm actually doing --- The phrase "making more money based on intuition" sounds a bit dangerous, brother --- The account went from 20U to 120U, that moment must have been exhilarating --- That last question hit the nail on the head, gambling and trading are indeed just a fine line apart --- The moment the illusion of an 80% win rate shattered must have been really painful --- I'm currently stuck in this vicious cycle where analyzing carefully only leads to losses

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CryptoTarotReader

· 01-10 13:43

This is a classic case of survivor bias; it just feels like you earn more when you're lucky.

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SelfCustodyBro

· 01-10 12:59

That's why I never look at charts haha

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WhaleWatcher

· 01-10 12:35

This is our daily routine. It feels like winning is all luck. Making money based on intuition and losing money based on analysis—means we're all gamblers, haha. 13U doubles to 2000 and then goes back to zero—this roller coaster ride, is it worth it? An 80% win rate can't save you; the next second, you'll get slapped in the face. That's just how it is. Careful analysis often leads to heavy losses; what’s meant to be in your fate can't be escaped.

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AlwaysAnon