2026-01-10 12:26:31

When it comes to making money, many people want to find that perfect timing. In fact, as early as 1872, an economist named George Tritch summarized an economic cycle chart, drawn very simply — the entire economic movement revolves around three stages: panic, prosperity, and depression.

As investors, the approach is straightforward. During the depression phase at point C, boldly buy in, then wait until the prosperity phase at point B when the timing is right to sell, ensuring a steady profit. Bold traders? Then keep waiting, holding until the market is completely crazy at the FOMO top before liquidating, doubling your returns.

Back to the current situation. According to this cycle theory, after experiencing an economic panic in 2019, the market began to weaken. In 2023, we are just in the depression cycle, and logically, this is the right time to buy. Looking ahead, there is a long upward cycle waiting for about 3 years, meaning a phase top will be reached around 2026. And then? Another wave of depression will cycle downward.

Whether you believe in science or metaphysics, this economic cycle pattern applies to all markets. Remember it, and you’ll master the rhythm of investing.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

13 Likes

Reward
13
4
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

JustHereForAirdrops

· 22h ago

Here we go again? Applying the theory from 1872 today, it feels like trading in front of a mirror, you have to hit your head a few times before you believe it.

View OriginalReply0

OnChainDetective

· 01-10 12:56

Wait a minute, is George Tritch a real person or just made up? I just checked on the chain for a long time and couldn't find any information about this person. It feels a bit suspicious... --- So, according to this logic, 2026 will be the peak. Now, big players must have been quietly accumulating early. I need to monitor large transfers starting with 0x... --- The cycle theory from 1872 is still applicable now; the information gap is gone, and institutions have long been playing with this trick... --- If buying at the bottom during a depression is so simple, why are so many people still losing money? Backend data can be deceptive. --- I want to believe this theory, but my risk warning system tells me someone might be using this story to harvest profits... --- A three-year upward cycle? I think a three-year "whale sucking" cycle might be more accurate... --- The whale addresses have been fluctuating more frequently in the past two weeks. I don't know if it's a coincidence or if someone knows something in advance. --- Why does this article read so much like a textbook? In real operations, it's never this smooth. Information warfare is the real game.

View OriginalReply0

DisillusiionOracle

· 01-10 12:55

It's the same old cycle theory, I've heard it too many times haha --- Top in 2026? I doubt it, a year full of black swan events --- Sounds nice, but who dares to buy at the real bottom? Everyone's waiting for lower prices --- Listening to this theory is okay, but real gamblers put real money in --- The theory from 1872 applied to crypto? That's a dream --- I just want to know who can accurately hit the C point, anyway it's not me --- Bottoming during a depression sounds good, but in reality, those who do it often suffer even bigger losses --- Cycle theory is the most impressive after the fact; who can predict it in advance? --- If you put it that way, then going all-in at the FOMO top in 2021 was definitely the right move --- Interesting, but history never repeats exactly, it just rhymes

View OriginalReply0

liquiditea_sipper

· 01-10 12:52

Here we go again with this old theory, acting like we can land on the moon by 2026... --- Honestly, everyone can talk about bottoming during a downturn, but when your account shrinks, that's when you should cry. --- Wait, did this guy already summarize this in 1872? Why didn't he predict the 2008 financial crisis in advance? --- Cycle theory sounds beautiful, but I'm afraid you'll miss the entire rebound of the cycle. --- Alright, then I'll go all in now and see what happens in 2026. --- This logic is a bit too simple; the market doesn't follow such strict rules. --- It sounds nice, but it's really just buying low and selling high... Why didn't I think of that? --- A three-year upward cycle? What I fear is that a policy change could cause chaos worldwide. --- Hold until FOMO peaks and then clear your positions. Easy to say, but how long does it take to build that psychological resilience? --- Feels like you're encouraging new investors to jump in again... Cycle theory does exist, but who really knows when it will start?

View OriginalReply0