Tonight, the US market will face three hurdles simultaneously.



First, employment. If non-farm payroll data continues to weaken, don’t assume it’s just short-term volatility—this is a clear signal of real economic bleeding. Slowing growth and increased layoffs are right there in the data.

Second, tariffs. If the ruling is overturned, it won’t mean immediate payments, but the market will start recalculating right away. Once risk reassessment begins, the chain reaction will quickly spread to asset pricing.

Finally, high-level attitudes. The Treasury Secretary and Trump have been speaking frequently lately, which is no coincidence. The frequency and tone of their statements are sending signals.

You need to understand the market’s playbook—it's never about waiting for the results to come out before acting, but about positioning early and betting in advance. Everyone is guessing policy directions; smart funds are already tightening positions or testing the waters.

Tonight’s volatility may not immediately determine the market’s direction, but it will leave traces. These "traces" will be the real reference points in the coming days. By carefully observing changes in trading volume and liquidity jumps, you can see who is positioning early.
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GasFeeSobbervip
· 9h ago
Weak employment data directly leads to a complete shutdown; this non-farm payroll report is probably just another show... Trade war reversal? Ha, the funds have been quietly adjusting their positions for a while, and retail investors are always the last to know. The Treasury Secretary and the President are interacting so frequently, clearly setting traps for the market. As for pre-positioning, we retail investors are just bystanders sent to be served. If trading volume suddenly surges, it means someone is trying to shake the market. Can't sleep tonight, watching the K-line and waiting to cut losses. If you caught this wave of opportunity, remember to share some soup with me, haha. This rhythm feels like we're about to be played again... Smart money has already run away, and we're still here pondering. Once liquidity jumps, small investors are directly turned into leeks under the sickle. Let's wait and see who profits and who gets played in this round.
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FallingLeafvip
· 01-10 05:23
Oh no, the non-farm payrolls are coming again, and this time three layers of pressure are hitting all at once—it's really overwhelming. Smart money has already been lurking there; retail investors can only guess... If this wave of tariff reversal really materializes, we'll need to recalculate the entire pricing model. Once the chain reaction starts, it can't be stopped. Trading volume needs to be closely watched—that's where the real funds are moving, and traces can't be fooled. Softening employment data is really no small matter; it indicates that the real economy is indeed beginning to struggle. The big players haven't stopped talking recently; the tension is definitely for a reason. Those who took sides early on have known this for a while; we're just here to watch the show.
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RegenRestorervip
· 01-09 16:44
Is weak non-farm employment really the end? I think this time is different, mainly because the Federal Reserve hasn't seriously cut interest rates yet... The tariffs are the real trouble; if there's a turnaround, it will blow up. --- Smart money has already started to position itself. Retail investors are still debating whether to go long or short—it's hilarious. --- Honestly, looking at trading volume is more accurate than reading the news... The traces will tell the story. --- Is Trump again hinting at something? This guy always makes the market rollercoaster—I'm amazed. --- Three hurdles coming at the same time? That's classic risk accumulation. We need to quickly check if our positions can still be saved.
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TradFiRefugeevip
· 01-09 16:32
Damn, non-farm payrolls are going to dump again. The employment data is so bad that I really can't hold on anymore. Someone has probably been accumulating since long ago; smart money doesn't wait for the results. The real bomb is the tariffs; if they turn around, asset pricing will have to be recalculated. You can tell who's been positioning early just by looking at the trading volume—that's the trick. Frequent statements from the top leadership can't hide anything; they're all signals, bro. Tonight, I'm not afraid of volatility, but I'm worried about getting trapped. I need to keep a close eye on liquidity.
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GasOptimizervip
· 01-09 16:29
Non-farm + tariffs + top-level overlap, this wave of volume pattern needs to be carefully observed. Historical data tells me that moments of liquidity exhaustion are most likely to produce unilateral trends.
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YieldWhisperervip
· 01-09 16:25
If non-farm payrolls are this soft again, it's really not just about volatility anymore; it's bleeding out. The trade war reversal will force the market to reprice, triggering a chain reaction in minutes. We also need to keep an eye on high-level speeches; their high frequency definitely indicates some signals. --- Smart money has already been positioning; what are we waiting for? Tonight's trading volume is the real signal—watch who is quietly accumulating positions. --- Instead of waiting for the results, why not guess the policy direction now? The market always operates this way—betting early is always faster than reacting. --- Traces are more valuable than results. Tonight's volatility might not change the direction, but it will tell you how to operate in the next few days. --- It seems we need to watch all three hurdles—employment, tariffs, and high-level attitudes. One big shock tonight could be the end. Liquidity is definitely jumping right now. --- The Treasury Secretary and Trump have been so active in speaking lately—aren't they hinting at something? The market should be viewed in the opposite way.
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