Futures
Access hundreds of perpetual contracts
TradFi
Gold
One platform for global traditional assets
Options
Hot
Trade European-style vanilla options
Unified Account
Maximize your capital efficiency
Demo Trading
Introduction to Futures Trading
Learn the basics of futures trading
Futures Events
Join events to earn rewards
Demo Trading
Use virtual funds to practice risk-free trading
Launch
CandyDrop
Collect candies to earn airdrops
Launchpool
Quick staking, earn potential new tokens
HODLer Airdrop
Hold GT and get massive airdrops for free
Launchpad
Be early to the next big token project
Alpha Points
Trade on-chain assets and earn airdrops
Futures Points
Earn futures points and claim airdrop rewards
Federal Reserve's rate cuts fail to curb inflation rebound; JPMorgan warns of mid-year price pressures next year
【CryptoWorld】Wall Street giant JPMorgan recently issued a thought-provoking warning: even though the Federal Reserve has started a rate-cutting cycle, the monster of inflation might not be done yet.
Specifically, JPMorgan expects the inflation rate to continue rising until June 2026, with a peak possibly reaching 3.5-4%. In other words, in the next more than six months, the effect of rate cuts may be overwhelmed by a rebound in inflation. Only by the end of the year is inflation expected to gradually fall back to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
The underlying logic is quite sobering: relying solely on rate cuts to stimulate the economy, while supply-side pressures, geopolitical risks, energy prices, and other factors are still pushing up prices. For investors holding crypto assets, what does this mean? Repeated inflation expectations will continue to boost the appeal of safe-haven assets, but at the same time, it could also prolong the high-interest-rate environment. The complexity of the market lies in the uncertainty of policy expectations—whether the Fed will pause or even reverse rate cuts due to the rebound in inflation—these are variables to watch closely in the coming period.
---
A peak inflation rate of 3.5-4%? Then my BTC hedging properties need to be re-priced.
---
To put it simply, the Federal Reserve is also powerless; it can't cut rates enough to offset geopolitical risks and energy prices...
---
Now it's good: interest rates are being cut while inflation rebounds. With such uncertain policy expectations, who dares to hold heavy positions?
---
Wait, does this mean high interest rates will continue? Then the yields on stablecoins need to be increased.
---
Once again, we're in a situation where "everything is complicated." Crypto enthusiasts should wake up.
---
So, the main theme is that inflation expectations are fluctuating; BTC should indeed rise.
---
Is JPMorgan just bluffing, or do they really have some tricks up their sleeve? We'll see by mid-year.