Is the Fed really going to take action this time?

Here’s the latest data from CME: the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December has soared to 87.3%. This isn’t just a prediction—it’s basically a spoiler. We’ll likely get the answer in the early hours of Thursday when the interest rate decision is announced.

What does a rate cut actually mean?

Simply put: US dollar liquidity will loosen, capital will start looking for new opportunities, and the dormant market could become active again.

Looking back at previous cycles, whenever there were signs of easing liquidity, crypto assets were often among the first to sense the opportunity and take off. Quick reactions and high volatility are the hallmarks of this market.

But that said—

News is just news; real market moves only count when they actually happen.

So ordinary investors shouldn’t rush in at this point. The real strategy for making gains looks like this:

**First: Don’t go all-in at once**

Before the trend is fully confirmed, control your position size and keep some room. That way, whether you want to buy more on a dip or chase a breakout, you still have options.

**Second: Zoom out—don’t focus on short-term price swings**

The value of major coins isn’t determined by one or two candles. Frequent trading often just benefits others; those who can hold on are the ones who catch the trend.

**Third: Tonight’s highlight isn’t just about whether rates are cut**

What’s even more critical is what Powell says at the press conference.

If he says something like “the future policy path is full of uncertainty,” market sentiment will cool off immediately.

But if he signals “we’ll continue to take easing measures when necessary,” the market could take off right away.

A rate cut is definitely a positive, but whether you can really seize the opportunity has never depended on the news itself—it’s about your execution, patience, and discipline at key moments.

When the wind blows, everyone can see it. But whether you can ride the wind and soar depends on your own abilities.