This week could be a turning point for the crypto world.

Four major US economic data releases are about to hit the market in quick succession—the Fed interest rate decision, the jobs report, CPI data, and a slew of labor market indicators. Each one can send BTC’s chart into a frenzy. Right now, the price is stuck near a technical level. To put it bluntly: it’s either a breakout or a crash, no in-between.

Let’s talk about the main event first. On Wednesday at 2:00 PM Eastern Time, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its rate decision. According to data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the market is betting on an 87% chance of a rate cut. What does this mean? Looser policy, more liquidity—this is theoretically bullish for crypto assets.

But here’s the catch—the market has already priced this expectation in.

Just look at traders on social media: some say “the rate cut is already priced in,” while others believe there’s still room for speculation. One thing is clear, though: BTC just went through a wild swing over the weekend and is barely holding the $90,000 psychological threshold. Whether it can hold depends entirely on how this meeting plays out.

In reality, the real game-changer isn’t the rate number itself.

The key is the press conference afterward—at 2:30 PM ET, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak in person. His wording on future policy, his stance on inflation, even a single pause, could trigger a chain reaction in the market. If he hints “this is the last cut for now,” BTC could take a dive; if he leaves the door open for more easing, then $90k might just be the starting point.

So this week, don’t just watch the price. Watch Powell’s words.