XRP Price to ‘Double Digits’? Analyst Insists This Prediction Is Conservative

Ripple’s XRP price has been holding above the $2 level despite the broader market cooling off, and one analyst believes the current structure points to something much larger on the horizon

Analyst Maelius shared a long-term Elliott Wave count and momentum chart, arguing that XRP reaching double-digit prices isn’t bold at all, in his view, it’s the conservative scenario.

Maelius’ chart tracks XRP entire multi-year price cycle. His Elliott Wave count places XRP deep into a larger bullish structure, with the current pullback forming wave IV before a final, extended wave V. In simple terms, he believes the XRP price is not finishing a cycle – it’s preparing for the last major leg up.

On his chart, previous wave IV zones marked long consolidation periods before explosive breakouts. He highlights similarities between XRP 2017–2018 structure, its 2020–2021 recovery, and the current pattern forming right now.

Each time the XRP price entered a long accumulation zone, the asset followed with a sharp rally into a new high. The current price action sits inside a similar zone, which is why he argues the setup is repeating.

Source: X/Maelius XRP Chart Momentum Signals Strengthening

The lower half of the chart focuses on XRP volatility and momentum behavior over multiple cycles.

In both earlier bull cycles, the XRP price showed a long stretch of compressed momentum before suddenly expanding, right before the major breakout.

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According to Maelius, XRP is now flashing the same build-up: Momentum has climbed back into the key expansion area. The zone matches the exact regions that preceded past rallies. Current readings look almost identical to the 2017 breakout window

He marks this region in blue on the chart, noting that the XRP price tends to explode upward once momentum escapes this band.

Why His XRP $10 Target Is Called “Conservative”

Based on his Elliott Wave projection, the next major wave (V) would push XRP toward the upper boundary of its long-term structure

Wave I and III in previous cycles were both extremely strong, and by applying the same proportional move to the next leg, the XRP price can reach double-digit prices without requiring abnormal or unrealistic growth.

He considers $10 the baseline target, not the optimistic one. In past cycles, XRP overshot standard Fibonacci levels, meaning a move above $10 wouldn’t be unusual if wave V behaves similarly.

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