Polymarket 预测 WTI 原油 4 月跌破 90 美元概率升至 89%,24 小时涨 35%

Gate News 消息,4 月 8 日,Polymarket"WTI 原油将在 2026 年 4 月跌至 90 美元"预测概率大幅上涨,现升至 89%,24 小时涨幅 35%。截至目前,该事件合约总交易量已超 1685.9 万美元。

该合约规则为:如果在 2026 年 4 月期间 WTI 原油(西德克萨斯中质原油,国际基准油价之一)期货活跃月份的任何 1 分钟 K 线"最高价"等于或高于上市价格,则市场将判定为"是",否则判定为"否"。此前 3 月价格预测合约的规则为:在任何交易日的芝加哥商品交易所原油期货合约当前活跃月份(近月)的官方结算价等于或高于截至 2026 年 3 月最后一个交易日的上市价格,则判定为"是",否则判定为"否"。

据 Gate 数据,目前 WTI 原油价格为 92.68 美元,24 小时下跌 16.01%。

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